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    <title>Notebooks   </title>
    <link>http://bactra.org/notebooks</link>
    <description>Cosma's Notebooks</description>
    <language>en</language>

  <item>
    <title>Development Economics and Economic Growth</title>
    <link>http://bactra.org/notebooks/2009/04/10#development-econ</link>
    <description>
&lt;P&gt;By a &quot;developed&quot; economy, people roughly mean ones with a high,
persistently-growing per-captia income which is not simply based on resource
extraction (i.e., oil) or remittances or rentierism &amp;mdash; an industrial (or,
if there is such a thing, post-industrial) economy which makes most of its
participants reasonably and increasingly prosperous.  While there are of course
differences among them --- the United States is not New Zealand, which is not
Belgium, which is not Finland, which is not Japan --- they are all more similar
to each other than they are to the vast variety of &quot;undeveloped&quot;,
&quot;under-developed&quot;, or (most optimistically) &quot;developing&quot; economies across the
world.  (Some people refer to the developed countries as &quot;the North&quot; and the
others as &quot;the South&quot;; this drives me up the wall, if only from looking at
where China and Australia are on the map.)  Economies in the first category
tend to stay there; so, sadly, do countries in the second.  Development
economics is the sub-discipline of &lt;a href=&quot;economics.html&quot;&gt;economics&lt;/a&gt; which
attempts to study how economies which have not attained this happy condition
can be made to do so, and the factors which hold others back.

&lt;P&gt;It is not clear whether there were &lt;em&gt;any&lt;/em&gt; developed economies before
the 20th century, or at best the very late 19th.  (There certainly were
industrial economies in Europe and North America by the 19th century, but the
degree of poverty of the European proletariat was indeed very shocking; I don't
know enough about the North American case to pronounce on that.)  It is also
not clear whether the ways in which the currently-developed economies became so
have any relevance for development under current conditions.  Technology is
very different, internal institutional arrangements are very different, and
perhaps most to the point the global economic context is very different.  I
have been speaking, as is common, as if each territorial state had its own
independent economy, but of course they are all linked through the world
markets, and have been since before there were any developed economies...  It
is also not clear whether there are any really important connections between
the causes of under-development in whole countries, and the causes of
persistent poverty in segments of otherwise-developed economies.  Finally, it
is unclear whether the causes of the &lt;em&gt;continued&lt;/em&gt; growth of developed
economies have anything to do with the causes of &lt;em&gt;becoming&lt;/em&gt; a developed
economy.  However, it's also not clear that these are two completely separate
sets of causes, so I'll lump both kinds of references here.

&lt;P&gt;Most of what's securely known on the subject is what &lt;em&gt;doesn't&lt;/em&gt; work.
Imperialism doesn't.  Communism &amp;mdash; the nationalization of the means of
production under the control of a party-state, with comprehensive planning
&amp;mdash; doesn't.  (This surprised many people, &lt;em&gt;including&lt;/em&gt; many who
thought capitalism morally superior.)  Import substitution doesn't work either.
A robust market system seems essential, but &quot;let the market take care of it&quot;
doesn't work.  Etc.  &lt;a href=&quot;institutions.html&quot;&gt;Institutions&lt;/a&gt; matter
somehow, but nobody's quite sure how...  All in all, this subject is a mess.

&lt;P&gt;See also:
	&lt;a href=&quot;evol-econ.html&quot;&gt;Evolutionary Economics&lt;/a&gt;

&lt;ul&gt;Recommended:
	&lt;li&gt;Willaim Easterly, &lt;cite&gt;The Elusive Quest for Growth: Economists'
Adventures and Misadventures in the Tropics&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;J. Vernon Henderson, Zmarak M. Shalizi and Anthony J. Venables,
&quot;Geography and Development&quot;, &lt;cite&gt;Journal of Economic
Geography&lt;/cite&gt; &lt;strong&gt;1&lt;/strong&gt; (2001): 81--105
[&lt;a href=&quot;http://ideas.repec.org/p/wbk/wbrwps/2456.html&quot;&gt;preprint version&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;li&gt;Robert Klitgaard, &lt;cite&gt;Tropical Gangsters&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Paul R. Krugman, &lt;cite&gt;Development, Geography, and Economic Theory&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Amartya Sen, &lt;cite&gt;Development as Freedom&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Robert Solow, &lt;cite&gt;Growth Theory: An Exposition&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;The World Bank, &lt;cite&gt;World Development Report&lt;/cite&gt; [Annual,
including &quot;world development indicators&quot;.  Two especially valuable ones are the
1998 report, &lt;cite&gt;Knowledge for Development&lt;/cite&gt;, and the 2003
report, &lt;cite&gt;Sustainable Development in a Dynamic World&lt;/cite&gt; &amp;mdash; though
the primary author of the 2003 report was my father, so I'm biased.]
	&lt;/ul&gt;

&lt;ul&gt;To read:
	&lt;li&gt;Daron Acemoglu, &lt;cite&gt;Introduction to Modern Economic Growth&lt;/citE&gt;
[&lt;a href=&quot;&quot;&gt;Blurb, sample chapters&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;li&gt;Philippe Aghion and Rachel Griffith, &lt;citE&gt;Competition and Growth: Reconciling Theory and Evidence&lt;/cite&gt; [&lt;a href=&quot;http://mitpress.mit.edu/9780262012188&quot;&gt;blurb&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;li&gt; Philippe Aghion and Peter W. Howitt
		&lt;ul&gt;
		&lt;li&gt;&lt;cite&gt;Endogenous Growth Theory&lt;/cite&gt;
		&lt;li&gt;&lt;cite&gt;The Economics of Growth&lt;/cite&gt; [&lt;a href=&quot;http://mitpress.mit.edu/978-0-262-01263-8&quot;&gt;blurb&lt;/a&gt;]
		&lt;/ul&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Alice H. Amsden, &lt;cite&gt;Escape from Empire: The Developing World's
Journey through Heaven and Hell&lt;/cite&gt;
[&lt;a href=&quot;http://mitpress.mit.edu/978-0-262-01234-8&quot;&gt;blurb&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;li&gt;Abhijit Banerjee et al., &lt;cite&gt;Making Aid Work&lt;/cite&gt;
[&lt;a
href=&quot;http://mitpress.mit.edu/978-0-262-02615-4&quot;&gt;blurb&lt;/a&gt;; &lt;a
href=&quot;http://bostonreview.net/ndf.html#Aid&quot;&gt;&lt;cite&gt;Boston Review&lt;/cite&gt;
symposium&lt;/a&gt; on which the book is based]
	&lt;li&gt;Pranab Bardhan, &lt;citE&gt;Scarcity, Conflicts, and Cooperation: Essays
in the Political and Institutional Economics of Development&lt;/cite&gt; [&quot;An
integrative and reflective account of some of the major topical issues in
development economics, focusing on institutional failures, weak accountability
mechanisms, and missed opportunities for cooperative problem-solving in poor
countries.&quot;  &lt;a href=&quot;http://mitpress.mit.edu/0262524295&quot;&gt;Full blurb&lt;/a&gt;.]
	&lt;li&gt;Kaushik Basu, &lt;cite&gt;Analytical Development Economics: The Less
Developed Economy Revisited&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;William J. Baumol, &lt;cite&gt;The Free-Market Innovation Machine - Analyzing the Growth Miracle of Capitalism&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Samuel Bowles, Steven N. Durlauf and Karla Hoff (eds.),
&lt;cite&gt;Poverty Traps&lt;/cite&gt;
[&lt;a href=&quot;http://pup.princeton.edu/titles/8176.html&quot;&gt;Blurb, intro&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;li&gt;Vivek Chibber, &lt;cite&gt;Locked in Place: State-Building and Late
Industrialization in India&lt;/cite&gt;
[&lt;a href=&quot;http://pup.princeton.edu/titles/7685.html&quot;&gt;Blurb, ch. 1&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;li&gt;Partha Dasgupta, &lt;cite&gt;Inquiry into Well-Being and
Destitution&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Hernando de Soto, &lt;cite&gt;The Mystery of Capital&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Steven N. Durlauf and Danny T. Quah, &quot;The New Empirics of Economic
Growth,&quot; &lt;a
href=&quot;http://www.santafe.edu/sfi/publications/Abstracts/98-01-012abs.html&quot;&gt;SFI
Working Paper 98-01-012&lt;/a&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Jean Ensminger, &lt;cite&gt;Making a Market: The Institutional
Transformation of an African Society&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Yi Feng, &lt;cite&gt;Democracy, Governance, and Economic Performance:
Theory and Evidence&lt;/cite&gt; [&lt;a
href=&quot;http://mitpress.mit.edu/026206356&quot;&gt;Blurb&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;li&gt;Nils Gilman, &lt;cite&gt;Mandarins of the Future: Modernization Theory in
Cold War America&lt;/cite&gt;
[&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.press.jhu.edu/books/title_pages/1928.html&quot;&gt;blurb&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;li&gt;Gene M. Grossman, &lt;cite&gt;Innovation and Growth in the Global
Economy&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Judith Tendler, &lt;cite&gt;Good Government in the Tropics&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Eric L. Jones
		&lt;ul&gt;
		&lt;li&gt;&lt;cite&gt;The European Miracle: Environments, Economies
and Geopolitics in the History of Europe and Asia&lt;/cite&gt;
		&lt;li&gt;&lt;cite&gt;Growth Recurrring: Economic Change in World History&lt;/cite&gt;
		&lt;/ul&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Robert Klitgaard
		&lt;ul&gt;
		&lt;li&gt;&lt;cite&gt;Adjusting to Reality: Beyond &quot;State vs. Market&quot; in
Economic Development&lt;/cite&gt;
		&lt;li&gt;&lt;cite&gt;Controlling Corruption&lt;/cite&gt;
		&lt;/ul&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Atul Kohli, &lt;cite&gt;State-Directed Development: Political Power and Industrialization in the Global Periphery&lt;/cite&gt; [&lt;a href=&quot;http://cambridge.org/9780521545259&quot;&gt;blurb&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;li&gt;Jeff Madrick, &lt;cite&gt;Why Economies Grow&lt;/citE&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Gerald M. Meier, &lt;cite&gt;Biography of a Subject: An Evolution of Development Economics&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Ahmed Mushfiq Mobarak, &quot;Democracy, Volatility and Economic
Development&quot;, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1162/0034653053970302&quot;&gt;&lt;cite&gt;The
Review of Economics and Statistics&lt;/cite&gt; &lt;strong&gt;87&lt;/strong&gt; (2005):
348--361&lt;/a&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;E. Wayne Nafziger, &lt;cite&gt;Economic Development&lt;/cite&gt;
[&lt;a href=&quot;http://cambridge.org/0521829666&quot;&gt;Blurb&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;li&gt;Richard R. Nelson, &lt;cite&gt;The Sources of Economic Growth&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;&lt;a
href=&quot;http://www.nobel.se/laureates/economy-1993-2-autobio.html&quot;&gt;Douglass
North&lt;/a&gt;
		&lt;ul&gt;
		&lt;li&gt;&lt;cite&gt;Institutions, Institutional Change and Economic
Performance&lt;/cite&gt;
		&lt;li&gt;&lt;cite&gt;Understanding the Process of Economic Change&lt;/cite&gt; [&lt;a href=&quot;http://pup.princeton.edu/titles/7943.html&quot;&gt;Blurb, first chapter&lt;/a&gt;]
		&lt;/ul&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Conor O'Dwyer, &lt;cite&gt;Runaway State-Building: Patronage Politics and
Democratic Development&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Adam Przeworksi, &quot;The Last Instance: Are Institutions the Primary
Cause of Economic Development?&quot;, &lt;a
href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0003975604001419&quot;&gt;&lt;citE&gt;European Journal of Sociology&lt;/cite&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;45&lt;/strong&gt; (2004): 165--188&lt;/a&gt; [&quot;neo-institutionalists claim that
institutions are the 'primary' cause of economic development, 'deeper' than the
supply of factors and methods for their use, which Marxists would call 'forces
of production'. Yet while the conclusion is different, the historical
narratives differ little across these perspectives. How, then, are such
conclusions derived? Can anything be said to be 'primary'? I conclude that
'causal primacy' is an answer to an incorrectly posed question. Institutions
and development are mutually endogenous and the most we can hope for is to
identify their reciprocal impacts.&quot;]
	&lt;li&gt;Adam Przeworski et al., &lt;cite&gt;Democracy and Development: Political
Institutions and Well-Being in the World, 1950--1990&lt;/cite&gt;
[&lt;a href=&quot;http://cambridge.org/0521793793&quot;&gt;Blurb&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;li&gt;Dani Rodrik, &lt;cite&gt;The New Global Economy and Developing Countries:
Making Openness Work&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Dani Rodrik (ed.), &lt;cite&gt;In Search of Prosperity: Analytic
Narratives on Economic Growth&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Hilton L. Root, &lt;cite&gt;Capital and Collusion: The Political Logic of
Global Economic Development&lt;/cite&gt;
[&lt;a href=&quot;http://pup.princeton.edu/titles/8054.html&quot;&gt;Blurb, ch. 1&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;li&gt;Javier Santiso, &lt;cite&gt;Latin America's Political Economy of the
Possible: Beyond Good Revolutionaries and Free-Marketeers&lt;/cite&gt;
[&lt;a href=&quot;http://mitpress.mit.edu/0-262-19542-9&quot;&gt;Blurb&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;li&gt;Andrei Shleifer and Robert W. Vishny, &lt;cite&gt;The Grabbing Hand:
Government Pathologies and Their Cures&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Robert L. Tignor, &lt;cite&gt;W. Arthur Lewis and the Birth of
Development Economics&lt;/cite&gt;
[&lt;a href=&quot;http://pup.princeton.edu/titles/8045.html&quot;&gt;Blurb, intro&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;/ul&gt;
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