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    <title>Notebooks   </title>
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    <description>Cosma's Notebooks</description>
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  <item>
    <title>Millenarianism </title>
    <link>http://bactra.org/notebooks/2009/10/24#millenarian</link>
    <description>
&lt;blockquote&gt;&lt;em&gt;Still waiting&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;

&lt;P&gt;The name is from the 20th chapter of the Book of Revelations.  Christ has
just defeated the Beast, and cast him and his false prophet into a &quot;lake of
fire burning with brimstone&quot;.  Christ has also slaughtered the army of the
beast, including the kings of the earth, slaying them with a sword which
&quot;proceeded out of his mouth&quot;.  (A conservation-minded angel had earlier called
together the birds of the air, that they might &quot;eat the flesh of kings, and the
flesh of captains, and the flesh of mighty men, and the flesh of horses, and of
them that sit on them, and the flesh of all men, both free and bond, both small
and great&quot;.)

&lt;blockquote&gt;
And I saw an angel come down from heaven, having the key of the bottomless pit
and a great chain in his hand.  And he laid hold on the dragon, that old
serpent, which is the Devil, and Satan, and bound him a thousand years, and
cast him into the bottomless pit, and shut him up, and set a seal upon him,
that he should deceive the nations no more, till the thousand years should be
fulfilled: and that that he must be loosed a little season.  And I saw thrones,
and they sat upon them, and judgment was given unto them: and I saw the souls
of them that were beheaded for the witness of Jesus, and for the word of God,
and which had not worshiped the beast, neither his image, neither had they
received his mark upon their foreheads, or in their hands; and they lived and
reigned with Christ a thousand years.  But the rest of the dead lived not again
until the thousand years were finished.  This is the first resurrection.
Blessed and holy is he that hath part in the first resurrection: on such the
second death hath no power, but they shall be priests of God and of Christ, and
shall reign with him a thousand years.
&lt;/blockquote&gt;

&lt;P&gt;Hence the millennium: the thousand-year reign of Christ and his saints upon
the earth, after they defeat the forces of evil.  &lt;em&gt;Millenarianism&lt;/em&gt;,
originally, was the belief, among Christians, that this epoch was coming very
soon, and that they, the righteous witnesses (martyrs) of Christ, would be part
of it.  Arguably, all Christians were originally millenarians in something like
this sense.  (Historically, it seems that the Beast was the Emperor Nero, whose
reign the author of Revelations was enduring.)  In a larger sense, though,
millenarianism has come to be the label for any movement or ideology which is
similar to this --- the belief that, very shortly, the struggle between the
forces of good and evil will come to a climax, and the good will triumph and
institute the reign of righteousness, when historical wrongs will be rectified,
and injustice and oppression will cease, and those who profit from injustice
and oppression will get what's coming to them.  The righteous believers will
play a crucial role in this drama, either by helping to defeat the forces of
evil, or by sharing in the millennial reign, or both.

&lt;P&gt;The appeal of such a belief to those who feel themselves the victims of
injustice and oppression is manifest, and, as a matter of historical fact, most
people &lt;em&gt;have&lt;/em&gt; been victims of injustice and oppression.  Even beyond
that, it can speak, very powerfully, to longings for a decisively better order
of things, one without the all-too-evident imperfections of the present, one,
moreover, untainted by &lt;em&gt;connection&lt;/em&gt; with the present order.  While there
is, of course, no &lt;em&gt;reason&lt;/em&gt; to believe in millenarian ideas, wishful
thinking is a powerful and ubiquitous force in human affairs (I certainly am
often in its power).  Why then have most people &lt;em&gt;not&lt;/em&gt; been millenarians?
There are, it seems to me, a number of causes at work here.

&lt;P&gt;First, many people were simply never exposed to millenarian ideas, and it's
not such a simple and obvious set of concepts that one should expect it to be
independently invented multiple times.  One needs, at the very least, the idea
of a final conflict between the forces of good and evil, which itself is not
something that reappears frequently.  Indeed, some would argue that it was
invented exactly &lt;em&gt;once&lt;/em&gt;, by Zarathustra, or at least by the tradition
associated with that name, whence it spread to Judaism, and so to Christianity
and Islam.  (See, for an argument along these lines, Norman
Cohn's &lt;cite&gt;Cosmos, Chaos, and the World to Come&lt;/cite&gt;.)  Be that as it may,
it's certainly true that many populations have had little or no exposure to
millenarian ideas until relatively recently.

&lt;P&gt;Second, even if some version of the idea is socially available, it may be
more or less neutralized.  All Christians (pretty much) accept Revelations, and
so believe in the millennium &lt;em&gt;in some sense&lt;/em&gt;, but the human capacity for
re-interpretation is marvelous.  The passage I've just quoted implies certain
things to someone who believes that it literally describes events which will
come to pass within a few years.  It means something very different to those
who put it off to the remote future, or who believe that it's to be taken
figuratively.  (It is really easy to come up with figurative readings of such
texts, and in some ways their sheer weirdness encourages this.  I mean,
come &lt;em&gt;on&lt;/em&gt;: a sword coming out of Christ's &lt;em&gt;mouth&lt;/em&gt;, slaying the
heathen?  Doesn't that make a lot more sense as a way of saying they'll be won
over by the holy scripture than as a battle report?  [This is not meant as
serious exegesis, just an illustration.])  Even matters of emphasis can be
important here; imagine a preacher saying &quot;These things are mysteries.  Yes, of
course God will bring them all to pass, but when, and in what way, He alone
knows; the Kingdom will come like a thief in the night.  In the meanwhile what
matters is that there are those who are hungry and are not fed, those who are
thirsty and have nothing to drink, those who are naked and are not clothed.
Let's do something about them, and trust in God to deal with the beast.&quot;  So,
even in a population where millenarian texts (i.e., ones which can be
interpreted in a millenarian manner) are endemic, there will generally be other
interpretations of them, and it's by no means automatic that the millenarian
ones will be more popular, or even very wide-spread at all.  Indeed,
since &lt;em&gt;acting&lt;/em&gt; on millenarian ideas will generally be upsetting to the
local powers that be, they will often encourage neutralizing interpretations,
and suppress activist ones, an activity at which they are often
successful.  &lt;em&gt;Qua&lt;/em&gt; wishful thinking and mental comfort, an imminent
millennium is often no better than receiving your reward in an other-worldly
afterlife, immediately after this one, or outside time altogether; and it
implies much less upset to &lt;em&gt;this&lt;/em&gt; world.  To succeed in a population
where ideas incompatible with millenarianism are endemic, millenarian movements
must develop persuasive ways of neutralizing those ideas in their turn; this
problem of credible rhetoric can be very difficult.

&lt;P&gt;Third, and speaking of the powers that be, while most people &lt;em&gt;have&lt;/em&gt;
been victims of injustice and oppression, many of them have not &lt;em&gt;felt&lt;/em&gt;
they were such, at least not the extent they should have.  Most societies are
not embroiled in revolutionary uprisings and mass disobedience most of the
time, which is to say that most of the time most people have accepted their
situation in life as, if not &lt;em&gt;exactly&lt;/em&gt; as it should be, then close
enough, and not beyond &lt;em&gt;mundane&lt;/em&gt; remedies.  Two barriers to millenarian
movements are then deference and acceptance one's condition, and the belief
that it can be remedied through ordinary, mundane actions.  (Whether the second
belief is justified is not, as such, relevant.)

&lt;P&gt;Fourth, millenarian ideas have qualities which makes them tend to form the
nuclei of &lt;a href=&quot;narrative-communities.html&quot;&gt;narrative communities&lt;/a&gt;.  The
believers in the millenarian story have a role to play in the story, and so to
accept the story is to feel that one is, or should be, part of the community of
believers.  Non-believers are &lt;em&gt;not&lt;/em&gt; part of the community.  But, in such
situations, there is a natural tendency to think that everyone who is not part
of the community is an &lt;em&gt;enemy&lt;/em&gt; of the community, and since the real
enemy is the Adversary, they are (at least) the Adversary's tools.  It is hard
enough to live peacefully with one's mundane enemies; but who could be asked to
live peacefully with representatives of cosmic evil, especially when the final
conflict is approaching rapidly?  Accepting a millenarian story, then, entails
joining a certain narrative community, and often thus cutting oneself off from
other communities.  This carries very high costs, both emotionally and
socially.  This discourages people from joining, partly because they're risk
averse, and partly because most people don't like thinking of their friends and
family as minions of Satan.  (On the other hand, if you do join, that last
effect gives you a very strong incentive to get them to join too.)

&lt;P&gt;Fifth, there is an element of positive feedback at work.  If there is only
one person in the village who thinks the millennium is at hand, they are a
crank in the eyes of their neighbors, and who wants to join a crank?  (Besides,
they're probably subversive in the eyes of the authorities.)  On the other
hand, the one person in the village who &lt;em&gt;doesn't&lt;/em&gt; believe the millennium
is at hand is going to be subject to intense pressure to see the light (or
leave).  For that matter, when you're surrounded by people who all believe
something, you are much more likely to come to believe that yourself,
regardless of social pressure.  (This is often a good strategy, but it's prone
to failures in the form of what are called &quot;information cascades&quot;.)  This ties
back to the previous paragraph: all else being equal, the costs of leaving old
social networks and communities to join the movement is lower if the movement
is larger.

&lt;P&gt;Sixth, millenarian movements are not sustainable, for the simple reason that
the millennium is not now at hand, and never has been.  When this becomes
apparent --- and the human capacity for wishful thinking is not so great that
it won't, eventually, become apparent --- something has to give.  Either the
movement ceases to be millenarian, or it collapses &lt;em&gt;qua&lt;/em&gt; movement,
leaving behind, perhaps, a few die-hard followers who keep finding reasons why
the glorious day should be just a little more remote than they
thought....  (Logically speaking, the failure of all previous millenarian
expectations doesn't mean that they will &lt;em&gt;necessarily&lt;/em&gt; be disappointed
in the future.  By definition, however, at most &lt;em&gt;one&lt;/em&gt; of them could
succeed.)  The first five considerations apply, &lt;em&gt;mutatis mutandis&lt;/em&gt;, to
many other kinds of movement, like novel political ideologies; this one does
not.

&lt;P&gt;Taking these things together, we reach the conclusion that, in order to
become large, a millenarian movement must grow &lt;em&gt;very&lt;/em&gt; rapidly, if it is
not to be killed off by disillusionment, but that this is hard, because many
mechanisms work against rapid growth, particularly the rapid growth of a small
movement.  But under what circumstances will those inhibitory
mechanisms &lt;em&gt;not&lt;/em&gt; apply?

&lt;P&gt;Well, they will not apply in populations which (1) are exposed to
millenarian ideas, but (2) rival, non-millenarian ideas lack legitimacy and
acceptance and (3) many people believe they are oppressed, and have no hope for
mundane remedies.  These are going to be populations which are not just under
considerable stress, but stress which their traditional institutions are unable
to deal with.

&lt;P&gt;It therefore makes sense that the golden age of millenarian movements were
the 19th and 20th centuries.  In this period, European (and, later, North
American) missionaries carried (potentially) millenarian ideas all over the
world, pushing them very hard, often on populations which had never before been
exposed to them.  Imperialism meant that non-western societies were subjugated
by societies with unprecedented levels of power at their disposal, and those
societies set about re-molding the rest of the world in their image and to suit
their convenience.  Old ways of life were destroyed, more or less deliberately,
and new ones imposed and sprang into being.  It is not obvious that life in a
traditional agrarian society involved any &lt;em&gt;less&lt;/em&gt; oppression, in any
objective sense, than life in a suddenly-capitalist economy increasingly tied
to the world market, but it was a noticeably different &lt;em&gt;sort&lt;/em&gt; of
oppression.  Institutions ceased to exist or ceased to be relevant; ideas bound
up with those institutions and those patterns of authority and domination also
ceased to be credible and relevant.  Traditional ideas and ideals made it
easier to accept traditional forms of oppression, but not the newer forms, and
there was generally no (credible) replacement, no ideological explanation which
was not, itself, deeply humiliating.  The conditions were set, then, for the
success of all manner of millenarian ideas.  Sometimes particular stresses
triggered them --- natural disasters, famines, wars --- but often they seem,
looking back, to have been initiated more or less at random, through some
fortuitous concourse of people, ideas and events, like crystals precipitating
out of solution: in the Pacific (&quot;cargo cults&quot;), on the North American plains
(e.g., the Ghost Dance) and in South America, in Africa (in both Christian and
Muslim forms), in the Arctic, in Asia, and so on, literally across the world.
(If you want an extensive catalog, read Lanternari.)  Some of these were huge;
the largest of them was the Taiping movement in 19th century China; the civil
war it sparked was responsible for tens of millions of deaths, and set in
motion events which would help bring about the Chinese Revolution.  This is
part of the story of &lt;a href=&quot;modernity.html&quot;&gt;modernity&lt;/a&gt;, of the great
transformation of
&lt;a href=&quot;world-history.html&quot;&gt;world history&lt;/a&gt;; also the story of millions of
people acting in accordance with passionate convictions which were absurdly,
tragically wrong.

&lt;P&gt;If the age of European &lt;a href=&quot;empires.html&quot;&gt;imperialism&lt;/a&gt; was the golden
age of millenarian movements, one of the best-studied periods for them is one
of Europe's own epochs of intense crisis, namely the late middle ages and &lt;a
href=&quot;early-modern-europe.html&quot;&gt;early modern periods&lt;/a&gt;, up through the
Reformation.  Here the great name among the historians is Norman Cohn; it was
through his classic &lt;cite&gt;The Pursuit of the Millennium&lt;/cite&gt; that I first got
interested in this subject.  (And I read his book because it had a blurb from
&lt;a href=&quot;bertrand-russell.html&quot;&gt;Bertrand Russell&lt;/a&gt;.)  This was a period of
new plagues, newly-intensive warfare, &lt;a href=&quot;ottomans.html&quot;&gt;serious external
threat&lt;/a&gt;, the dislocations attendant on the development of a market economy,
and a long-running crisis of legitimacy for the Catholic Church, which not only
itself under-wrote the existing order, but provided much of its administrative
apparatus.  There were many millenarian movements, but also many other bizarre
manifestations, such as &lt;a href=&quot;witch-craze.html&quot;&gt;witch hunts&lt;/a&gt; (supported
by an elaborate &lt;a href=&quot;demonology.html&quot;&gt;demonology&lt;/a&gt;).  Much of the
millenarianism of this period is of the type I've been discussing, i.e.,
movements of the oppressed, or those who feel oppressed.  But there is also a
kind of millenarianism which is at home among elites, hosted by people in
relatively privileged classes.  The appeal here is that power could be used to
hasten the arrival of the millennium, or even to help bring it about
gradually --- e.g., to help make the world &lt;em&gt;suitable&lt;/em&gt; for Christ to
reign over (passing over the bits about the fowl).  Some historians have
claimed, plausibly, that this sort of millenarianism-from-above played a
crucial role in leading to the idea of progress, and even to encouraging the &lt;a
href=&quot;scientific-revolution.html&quot;&gt;scientific revolution&lt;/a&gt;.  Which goes
to show that it's not origins which count...

&lt;P&gt;&lt;em&gt;Questions.&lt;/em&gt;  Were there millenarian movements in the Americas during
the European conquests in the 15th and 16th centuries?  To what extent can
medieval European millenarianism also be explained as due to contact with a
more powerful and advanced civilization, namely Islam?  What are the
implications of the large number of essentially-millenarian movements now
active in the United States, e.g., the various &lt;a href=&quot;ufos.html&quot;&gt;saucer
cults&lt;/a&gt;?  (The obvious answer, while it might make for a good
&lt;a href=&quot;science-fiction.html&quot;&gt;science fiction&lt;/a&gt; novel, is not acceptable.)

&lt;P&gt;To what extent are secular &lt;a href=&quot;nationalism.html&quot;&gt;nationalism&lt;/a&gt; and &lt;a
href=&quot;totalitarianism.html&quot;&gt;totalitarianism&lt;/a&gt; related to religious
millenarian movements?  Or &lt;a
href=&quot;environmentalism.html&quot;&gt;environmentalism&lt;/a&gt;?  --- This question really
has two components.  One is about the historical evolution of concepts and
institutions, e.g., to what extent was, say, Soviet Communism the result of
descent-with-modification of millenarian ideas?  The other is a question of
dynamics, of causal mechanisms: even if the Bolsheviks really owed nothing to
religious millenarian traditions, to what extent did the same mechanisms apply
in both cases?  These are &lt;em&gt;entirely&lt;/em&gt; separate questions, logically,
though historians seem to confuse them habitually.

&lt;P&gt;&lt;em&gt;Can&lt;/em&gt; every millenarian movement be traced back to Zarathustra via
one of the monotheisms?  How did the White Lotus tradition in China originate?
(It's young enough that it &lt;em&gt;could&lt;/em&gt; fit that pattern, and it appeared in
China within the same epoch as that other western innovation, Buddhism.)  Were
there no other sources?

&lt;P&gt;Are there characteristics of a millenarian movement, or its environment,
which reliably predict whether it will survive as a straight-forward political
movement, or religious group, or just die?

&lt;P&gt;In &lt;cite&gt;Primitive Rebels,&lt;/cite&gt; E. J. Hobsbawm has some very astute
observations on the explosive growth of social movements, their &quot;periods of
abnormally, often fantastically rapid and easy mobilization of &lt;em&gt;hitherto
untouched masses.  Almost always such expansion takes the form of
contagion...&lt;/em&gt;&quot; (pp. 105--106, my emphasis).  He then goes on to explain why
millenarianism is highly suited to spreading ideas in this explosive manner: in
short, why it is a sort of reproductive &lt;a
href=&quot;adaptation.html&quot;&gt;adaptation&lt;/a&gt; for &lt;a href=&quot;memes.html&quot;&gt;memes&lt;/a&gt;,
including, of course, the millenarian memes themselves.  This seems to me
indisputably true, but it would be nice to examine detailed cases from this
perspective, and I don't think anyone's done so.

&lt;P&gt;See also:
	&lt;a href=&quot;conspiracy-theories.html&quot;&gt;Conspiracy Theories&lt;/a&gt;;
	&lt;a href=&quot;peasant-revolts.html&quot;&gt;Peasant Revolts&lt;/a&gt; (though millenarian
movements need not occur among peasants, and peasant revolts need not have
any millenarian components);
	&lt;a href=&quot;religion.html&quot;&gt;Religion&lt;/a&gt;;
	&lt;a href=&quot;revolution.html&quot;&gt;Revolutions and Revolutionaries&lt;/a&gt;;
	&lt;a href=&quot;sociology.html&quot;&gt;Sociology&lt;/a&gt;


&lt;ul&gt;Recommended:
	&lt;li&gt;Michael Barkun
		&lt;ul&gt;
		&lt;li&gt;&lt;cite&gt;A Cultural of Conspiracy: Apocalyptic Visions in
Contemporary America&lt;/cite&gt; [&lt;a
href=&quot;http://www.ucpress.edu/books/pages/10011.html&quot;&gt;Blurb and sample
chapter&lt;/a&gt;]
		&lt;li&gt;&lt;cite&gt;Religion and the Racist Right: The Origins of the
Christian Identity Movement&lt;/cite&gt;
		&lt;/ul&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;norman-cohn.html&quot;&gt;Norman Cohn&lt;/a&gt;
		&lt;ul&gt;
		&lt;li&gt;&lt;cite&gt;The Pursuit of the Millennium: Revolutionary
Millenarians and Mystical Anarchists of the Middle Ages&lt;/cite&gt;
		&lt;li&gt;&lt;cite&gt;Cosmos, Chaos and the World to Come: The Ancient
Roots of Apocalyptic Faith&lt;/cite&gt;
		&lt;/ul&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Juan R. I. Cole, &quot;Millenialism in Modern Iranian History&quot;,
pp. 282--311 in Abbas Amanat and Magnus Bernhardsson (eds.), &lt;cite&gt;Imagining
the End: Visions of Apocalypse from the Ancient Middle East to Modern
America&lt;/cite&gt; [Very interesting Iranian details.  Also, gives a sensible
argument for identifying five important traits of millenarian movements ---
pessimism (about the existing society and its mundane prospects), prophecy,
apocalypse (the society will be suddenly, irreversibly and supernaturally
transformed), charismatic leadership, and utopianism.  No mechanistic
considerations.  &lt;a
href=&quot;http://www-personal.umich.edu/~jrcole/bahai/2003/millen2.htm&quot;&gt;Online&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;li&gt;Whitney R. Cross, &lt;cite&gt;The Burned-Over District: The Social
and Intellectual History of Enthusiastic Religion in Western New York,
1800--1850&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Karen E. Fields, &quot;Charismatic Religion as Popular Protest: The
Ordinary and Extraordinary in Social Movements&quot;, &lt;cite&gt;Theory and Society&lt;/cite&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;11&lt;/strong&gt; (1982): 321--361 [&lt;a
href=&quot;http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0304-2421%28198205%2911%3A3%3C321%3ACRAPPT%3E2.0.CO%3B2-Y&quot;&gt;JSTOR
link&lt;/a&gt;.  Good as an account of a particular movement in Zambia in 1917--1918,
and of how it blended foreign concepts (via orthodox missionaries and the
Jehovah's Witnesses) with local symbolism, particularly how things like
speaking in tongues challenged local chiefly authority, which was tied to their
own use of spirit mediums.  So Fields succeeds in showing that, given their
premises, much of the action of the millenarians was instrumentally rational.
This doesn't change the fact that those premises were absurd and irrational...]
	&lt;li&gt;Wilhelm Fraenger, &lt;cite&gt;The Millennium of Hieronymous Bosch&lt;/cite&gt;
[Argument that Bosch's paintings indicate the beliefs of a millenarian movement
of which he was a member; interesting, but (of course) a subject of dispute
among scholars]
	&lt;li&gt;Eric J. Hobsbawm, &lt;cite&gt;Primitive Rebels: Studies in Archaic Forms
of Social Movement in the 19th and 20th Centuries&lt;/cite&gt; [See comments above.
As a committed Communist, Hobsbawm's attitude towards these movements is
somewhat like that of a modern scientist looking at some ancient philosopher or
alchemist who anticipated a later discovery --- heart in the right place,
striking insight, but no sense of &lt;em&gt;method&lt;/em&gt;, couldn't lead anywhere, good
thing we have an effective replacement.  Whether a Communist, of all people,
is entitled to take such a stance is another question...]
	&lt;li&gt;David S. Katz and Richard H. Popkin, &lt;cite&gt;Messianic Revolution:
Radical Religious Politics to the End of the Second Millennium&lt;/cite&gt; [&lt;a
href=&quot;../reviews/messianic-revolution/&quot;&gt;Review&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;li&gt;Vittorio Lanternari, &lt;cite&gt;The Religions of the Oppressed: A Study
of Modern Messianic Cults&lt;/cite&gt; [Among non-Westerners in the 19th and early
20th century only.  The number and similarity of the cults at times leads to
tedium.]
	&lt;li&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://magistraetmater.blog.co.uk/&quot;&gt;Magistra et
Mater&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a
href=&quot;http://magistraetmater.blog.co.uk/2007/10/21/apocalypse_then~3169756&quot;&gt;&quot;Apocalypse
then?&quot;&lt;/a&gt; (21 October 2007) [Just how millenarian was Latin Christendom around
the years 1000 and 1033?]
	&lt;li&gt;Franz Michael with Chung-li Chang. &lt;cite&gt;The Taiping
Rebellion. Vol. I: History.&lt;/cite&gt; [The Taiping Rebellion was a major revolt in
south-central China, starting in 1850 and not ending until 1864 with the
extermination of the last of the rebels.  It was initiated by one Hong Xiuquan
(Wade-Giles: Hung Hsiu-Ch'uan), who had a series of visions blending missionary
Christianity and more traditional Chinese beliefs of the White Lotus variety
(see Naquin and Spence below).  Among other things, it was revealed to Hong
that he was the younger brother of Jesus Christ, and was called upon to
establish the &lt;em&gt;Taiping Tienguo,&lt;/em&gt; the Heavenly Kingdom of Everlasting
Peace.  Its ideology was, in a word, lunatic, but it took off like wildfire,
and for a time it seemed like the Rebellion might succeed in overthrowing the
Manchus.  (The Christian elements initially led to some sympathy among
Europeans in China, but the Taiping were, to say the least, heretical, and
eventually the European Powers supplied the loyalists --- armies raised and
commanded by members of the local gentry, a new development which helped lead
to the eventual breakdown of central rule --- with troops and equipment to help
suppress the Rebellion.  Marx has some interesting passages about this, but I
can't for the life of me remember where they are collected.)  This book is the
best basic history of the Rebellion, from a fairly straight-forward
political-military perspective, that I've come across (and at its $1
rummage-sale price, a great bargain); for more detail and better writing, at
about twice the length, see Spence below.  Vols. II and III are text and
translations of Taiping documents, on which, not being a historian, I'll pass.]
	&lt;li&gt;Susan Naquin, &lt;cite&gt;Millenarian Rebellion in China: the Eight
Trigrams Uprising of 1813&lt;/cite&gt; [An abortive revolt by the White Lotus sect,
early in the 19th century.  The White Lotus --- this tendril of it, anyhow ---
was something of a cross between a religion, a secret society and a multi-level
marketing scheme, and part of a millenarian tradition worshiping the Venerable
Mother of the West which seems to go back to the beginning of the Christian
era, and to be quite independent of the Western millenarian tradition.  The
book is a revision of Dr. Naquin's Ph.D. thesis, and in places it shows.]
	&lt;li&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;popper.html&quot;&gt;Karl Popper&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;cite&gt;The Open Society and
Its Enemies.&lt;/cite&gt; [See esp. chapter 9 in volume I, on aestheticism and
utopianism.]
	&lt;li&gt;Barbara R. Rossing, &lt;cite&gt;The Rapture Exposed: The Message of Hope
in the Book of Revelation&lt;/cite&gt; [Debunking of the Rapture mythology by a
mainline Lutheran minister.  This is mostly along the lines I suggested for my
imaginary preacher above, but I wrote that several months before reading this
book.]
	&lt;li&gt;Nicholas Salaman, &lt;cite&gt;The Garden of Earthly Delights&lt;/cite&gt;
[Novel based on Cohn and Fraenger.  Not a historical source, obviously, but a
pretty good book.]
	&lt;li&gt;Jonathan D. Spence, &lt;cite&gt;God's Chinese Son: the Taiping Heavenly
Kingdom of Hong Xiuquan&lt;/cite&gt; [Another history of the Taipings, with more
emphasis on the biography of Hong and the larger historical setting than
Michael and Chang.  It's a great book, though it takes a really bad writer to
do badly with a story where a failed examination candidate, plus a bunch of &lt;a
href=&quot;shamanism.html&quot;&gt;shamans&lt;/a&gt; from the back of the hills channeling the
Father, the Son and the Holy Ghost, nearly overthrow an empire.  (I've no doubt
I could manage the feat.) &lt;a href=&quot;../reviews/gods-chinese-son/&quot;&gt;Review&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;li&gt;E. L. Tuveson, &lt;cite&gt;Millennium and Utopia: A Study in the
Background of the Idea of Progress&lt;/cite&gt; [How the idea that the Millennium
would arrive very soon changed, in some circles of 16th and 17th century
Europe, into the idea that the world would keep on getting better and better,
i.e., into the idea of progress.]
	&lt;li&gt;Curt van den Heuvel, &lt;a
href=&quot;http://www.primenet.com/~heuvelc/skeptic/predictions.htm&quot;&gt;The Doomsday
List&lt;/a&gt; [List of predictions on the Web of the the Millennium, the Apocalypse
and/or the End of the World, starting in 1994.  Now (April 2003) apparently offline.]
	&lt;li&gt;Peter Worsely, &lt;cite&gt;The Trumpet Shall Sound&lt;/cite&gt; [Cargo cults of
Melanesia, as well as more general anthropological considerations]
	&lt;/ul&gt;

&lt;ul&gt;To read:
	&lt;li&gt;Abanes, &lt;cite&gt;End-Time Visions&lt;/citE&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Michael Adas, &lt;cite&gt;Prophets of Rebellion: Millenarian Protest
Movements against the European Colonial Order&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Akbar S. Ahmed, &lt;cite&gt;Millennium and Charisma among Pathans&lt;/cite&gt;
[i.e. the Swat &quot;Pathans&quot; in Pakistan, who are only distant relatives of mine.]
	&lt;li&gt;James A. Aho, &lt;cite&gt;The Politics of Righteousness: Idaho Christian
Patriotism&lt;/citE&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Abbas Amanant, &lt;cite&gt;Resurrection and Renewal: The Making of the
Babi Movement in Iran, 1844-1850&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Abbas Amanant and Magnus Bernhardsson (eds.), &lt;cite&gt;Imaging the
End: Visions of Apocalypse from the Ancient Middle East to Modern
America&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Michael Barkun, &lt;cite&gt;Disaster and the Millennium&lt;/cite&gt; [I've
read chapter 6, &quot;Millenarianism in the Modern World&quot;, which appeared
as a separate paper, &lt;citE&gt;Theory and Society&lt;/cite&gt; &lt;strong&gt;1&lt;/strong&gt;
(1974): 117--146 (&lt;a href=&quot;http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0304-2421%28197422%291%3A2%3C117%3AMITMW%3E2.0.CO%3B2-E&quot;&gt;JSTOR&lt;/a&gt;).  I have to say I have
some problems with this, but it'd be fairer to read the whole thing before
pronouncing judgment.]
	&lt;li&gt;Michael Andre Bernstein, &lt;cite&gt;Foregone Conclusions: Against
Apocalyptic History&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Boyer, &lt;cite&gt;When Time Shall Be No More&lt;/cite&gt; [American Christian
apocalypticism in the 20th century]
	&lt;li&gt;Barry Brummett, &lt;cite&gt;Contemporary Apocalyptic Rhetoric&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Malcolm Bull (ed.), &lt;cite&gt;Apocalypse Theory and the Ends of the
World&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Nicholas Campion, &lt;cite&gt;The Great Year: Astrology, Millenarianism,
and History in the Western Tradition&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Gregory Claeys, &lt;cite&gt;Machinery, Money and the Millennium: From
Moral Economy to Socialism, 1815--1860&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Cohen, &lt;cite&gt;Waiting for the Apocalypse&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.juancole.com/&quot;&gt;Juan R. I. Cole&lt;/a&gt;,
&lt;cite&gt;Modernity and the Millennium: The Genesis of the Baha'i Faith in the
Nineteenth-Century Middle East&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;David Cook
		&lt;ul&gt;
		&lt;li&gt;&lt;cite&gt;Contemporary Muslim Apocalyptic Literature&lt;/cite&gt;
		&lt;li&gt;&lt;cite&gt;Studies in Muslim Apocalyptic&lt;/cite&gt;
		&lt;/ul&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Ted Daniels (ed.), &lt;cite&gt;A Doomsday Reader: Prophets, 
and Hucksters of Salvation&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Dantonio, &lt;cite&gt;Heaven on Earth&lt;/cite&gt; (US New Age)
	&lt;li&gt;Henri Desroche, &lt;cite&gt;The Sociology of Hope&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Todd A. Diacon, &lt;cite&gt;Millenarian Vision, Capitalist Reality:
Brazil's Contestado Rebellion, 1912--1916&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;&lt;cite&gt;&lt;a
href=&quot;http://wolf.mind.net/library/ancient/enoch/enindex.htm&quot;&gt;Enoch&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Ferguson, &lt;cite&gt;Aquarian Conspiracy&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Fontenrose, &lt;cite&gt;Python&lt;/cite&gt; [The combat myth]
	&lt;li&gt;Forsyth, &lt;cite&gt;The Old Enemy: Satan and the Combat Myth&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Robert Friedel, &lt;cite&gt;A Culutre of Improvement: Technology and the
Western Millennium&lt;/cite&gt;
[&lt;a href=&quot;http://mitpress.mit.edu/0-262-06262-3&quot;&gt;blurb&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;li&gt;Abraham Friesen, &lt;cite&gt;Thomas M&amp;uuml;ntzer, a Destroyer of the Godless:
The Making of a Sixteenth-century Religious Revolutionary&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Robert C. Fuller, &lt;cite&gt;Naming the Antichrist: The History of an
American Obsession&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Clarke Garrett, &lt;cite&gt;Respectable Folly: Millenarians and the
French Revolution in France and England&lt;/cite&gt;
       &lt;li&gt;Steven M. Gelber and Martin L. Cook, &lt;cite&gt;Saving the Earth: The
History of a Middle-Class Millenarian Movement&lt;/cite&gt;
[&lt;a href=&quot;http://ark.cdlib.org/ark:/13030/ft1870045n/&quot;&gt;online&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;li&gt;Paul Gottfried, &lt;cite&gt;Conservative Millenarians: The Romantic
Experience in Bavaria&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Grosso, &lt;cite&gt;The Millennium Myth: Love and Death at the End of
Time&lt;/cite&gt; [Believes in millenarianism, if not perhaps in the millennium; I
can't imagine what Cohn would think of the uses to which Grosso puts his books.
Published by the Theosophists.]
	&lt;li&gt;B. J. ter Haar, &lt;cite&gt;The White Lotus Teachings in Chinese
Religious History&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;John R. Hall, &lt;cite&gt;Apocalypse Observed: Religious Movements and
Violence in North America, Europe, and Japan&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Grace Halsell, &lt;cite&gt;Prophecy and Politics: Militant Evangelists on
the Road to Nuclear War&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Alex Heard, &lt;cite&gt;Apocalypse Pretty Soon: Travels in End-Time
America&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Joachim of Fiore [Joachim was a Calabrian abbot who basically
invented the three-stage pattern for the interpretation of history, where the
third is Much Better, after meditating on &lt;cite&gt;Revelations.&lt;/cite&gt; Cohn claims
this influenced just about all the &lt;a href=&quot;prophecy.html&quot;&gt;futurologists&lt;/a&gt;
subsequent, down through and including Hegel, Comte and Karl Marx.  (I have my
doubts about Uncle Karl.)  We are now blessed with being able to add Alvin
Toffler to the list which includes not only those luminaries, but the
Franciscan Spirituals, the Free Spirit, the Anabaptists, some of the wilder
sects of the English Revolution, Lessing, and the founders of the medieval
Catalonian empire.  (For which last, see Robert Hughes,
&lt;cite&gt;Barcelona.&lt;/cite&gt;) While there is a good chapter on Joachim in
&lt;cite&gt;Pursuit of the Millennium,&lt;/cite&gt; and lots about him in &lt;cite&gt;&lt;a
href=&quot;umberto-eco.html&quot;&gt;The Name of the Rose,&lt;/cite&gt;&lt;/a&gt; I have this morbid
desire for the actual words...]
	&lt;li&gt;Catherine Keller, &lt;cite&gt;Apocalypse Now and Then: A Feminist Guide
to the End of the World&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Father Ronald Knox, &lt;cite&gt;Enthusiasm&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Angela M. Lahr, &lt;cite&gt;Millenial Dreams and Apocalyptic
Nightmares: The Cold War Origins of Political Evangelicalism&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Philip Lamy, &lt;cite&gt;Millennium Rage: Survivalists, White
Supremacists and the Doomsday Prophecy&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Michael Lieb, &lt;citE&gt;Children of Ezekiel: Aliens, UFOs, the Crisis
of Race, and the Advent of End Time&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Robert Lerner, &lt;cite&gt;The Powers of Prophecy: the Cedar of Lebanon
Vision from the Mongol Onslaught to the Dawn of the Enlightenment&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;McGinn (ed.), &lt;cite&gt;Visions of the End: Apocalyptic Traditions in
the Middle Ages&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Roger Manley (ed.), &lt;cite&gt;The End Is Near!  Visions of Apocalypse,
Millennium and Utopia&lt;/citE&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Frank E. Manuel and Fritzie P. Manuel, &lt;cite&gt;Utopian Thought in the Western World&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Greil Marcus, &lt;cite&gt;Lipstick Traces: The Secret History of the
Twentieth Century.&lt;/cite&gt; [Cohn, Dada, the Situationists, punks, the Free
Speech Movement --- he's probably cracked, but he's fascinating.]
	&lt;li&gt;Carol Mason, &lt;cite&gt;Killing for Life: The Apocalyptic Narrative
of Pro-Life Politics&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Philip Melling, &lt;cite&gt;Fundamentalism in America: Millennialism,
Identity and Militant Religion&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Arthur P. Mendel, &lt;cite&gt;Vision and Violence&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;A. G. Mojtabai, &lt;cite&gt;Blessed Assurance: At Home with the Bomb in
Amarillo, Texas&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;James Moone, &lt;cite&gt;The Ghost-Dance Religion&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;&lt;cite&gt;Revelation and Revolution: Basic Writings of Thomas
Muntzer&lt;/cite&gt;, trans. and ed. Michael G. Baylor
	&lt;li&gt;Ronald G. Musto, &lt;cite&gt;Apocalypse in Rome: Cola di Rienzo and the
Politics of the New Age&lt;/cite&gt; [&lt;a
href=&quot;http://www.ucpress.edu/books/pages/9739.html&quot;&gt;Blurb&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;li&gt;Susan Naquin, &lt;cite&gt;Shantung Rebellion: the Wang Lun Uprising of
1774&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Seyyed Hossein Nasr, Hamid Dabashi and Seyyed Vali Reza Nasr
(eds.), &lt;cite&gt;Expectation of the Millennium: Shi'ism in History&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Kenneth G. C. Newport, &lt;cite&gt;Apocalypse and Millennium: Studies in
Biblical Eisegesis&lt;/cite&gt; [&lt;a href=&quot;http://cambridge.org/0521773342&quot;&gt;blurb&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;li&gt;David Noble, &lt;cite&gt;The Religion of Technology&lt;/cite&gt; [Thoughts on
the millenarian inspirations of modern technology, by an excellent historian
who is also an out-and-out Luddite.]
	&lt;li&gt;Stephen O'Leary, &lt;cite&gt;Arguing the Apocalypse: a Theory of
Millennial Rhetoric&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Theodore Olson, &lt;cite&gt;Millenialism, Utopianism and Progress&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;James M. Rhodes, &lt;cite&gt;The Hitler Movement: a Modern Millenarian
Revolution&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;James Rinehart, &lt;cite&gt;Revolution and the Millennium&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Robbins and Palmer (eds.), &lt;cite&gt;Millennium, Messiahs, and Mayhem:
Contemporary Apocalyptic Movements&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;David Rowley, &lt;cite&gt;Millenarian Bolshevism, 1900 to 1920&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Harry C. Schnur, &lt;cite&gt;Mystic Rebels; Apollonius Tyaneus, Jan van
Leyden, Sabbatai Zevi, Cagliostro&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Hillel Schwartz
		&lt;uL&gt;
		&lt;li&gt;&lt;cite&gt;The French Prophets: The History of a Millenarian
Group in Eighteenth-Century England&lt;/cite&gt;
		&lt;li&gt;&lt;cite&gt;Century's End: A Cultural History of the&lt;/cite&gt;fin de
siecle&lt;/cite&gt;
		&lt;/ul&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Paul Smith, &lt;cite&gt;Millennial Dreams: Contemporary Culture and
Capital in the North&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Rachel Storm, &lt;cite&gt;In Search of Heaven on Earth&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Jon Stone (ed.), &lt;cite&gt;Expecting Armageddon: Essential Readings on
Failed Prophecy&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Damian Thompson, &lt;cite&gt;The End of Time: Faith and Fear in the
Shadow of the Millennium&lt;/citE&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;W. Warren Wagar, &lt;cite&gt;Terminal Visions&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Eugen Weber, &lt;cite&gt;Apocalypses: Prophesies, Cults, and Millennial
Beliefs through the Ages&lt;/cite&gt; [&lt;a
href=&quot;http://www.hup.harvard.edu/catalog/WEBAPO.html&quot;&gt;Blurb&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;li&gt;Robert P. Weller, &lt;cite&gt;Resistance, Chaos and Control in China:
Taiping Rebels, Taiwanese Ghosts, and Tiananmen&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Jennifer Wenzel, &lt;cite&gt;Bulletproof; Afterlives of Anticolonial
Prophecy in South Africa and Beyond&lt;/cite&gt; [&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.press.uchicago.edu/presssite/metadata.epl?mode=synopsis&amp;bookkey=6676834&quot;&gt;blurb&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;li&gt;Catherine Wessinger, &lt;cite&gt;Annie Besant and Progressive
Messianism&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Ann Williams (ed.), &lt;cite&gt;Prophecy and Millenarianism: Essays in
Honor of Marjorie Reeves&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Dwight Wilson, &lt;cite&gt;Armageddon Now!: The Premillenarian Response
to Russia and Israel since 1917&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Ben Witherington III, &lt;cite&gt;Revelation&lt;/cite&gt; [A modern (2003)
&quot;socio-rhetorical commentary&quot; on the Book of Revelation.  Reviewed in BMCR, &lt;a
href=&quot;http://ccat.sas.upenn.edu/bmcr/2004/2004-09-14.html&quot;&gt;2004.09.14&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;li&gt;Wojcik
		&lt;ul&gt;
		&lt;li&gt;&lt;cite&gt;The End of the World as We Know It: Faith, Fatalism
and Apocalypse in America&lt;/cite&gt;
		&lt;li&gt;&lt;cite&gt;Doomsday Passions&lt;/cite&gt; [forthcoming]
		&lt;/ul&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Zamora (ed.), &lt;cite&gt;The Apocalyptic Vision in America&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Sergei I. Zhuk, &lt;cite&gt;Russia's Lost Reformation: Peasants,
Millenialism, and Radical Sects in Southern Russia and Ukraine,
1830--1917&lt;/cite&gt; [&lt;a
href=&quot;http://www.press.jhu.edu/books/title_pages/2292.html&quot;&gt;Blurb&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;/ul&gt;
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