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  <channel>
    <title>Notebooks   </title>
    <link>http://bactra.org/notebooks</link>
    <description>Cosma's Notebooks</description>
    <language>en</language>

  <item>
    <title>Terrorism, state or independent</title>
    <link>http://bactra.org/notebooks/2009/05/01#terrorism</link>
    <description>
Links between the two.  Funding.  Apologetics.  Historical origins and
counterparts.  Myths.  Do people become terrorists because they are crazy, or
out of conviction, or because they enjoy blowing things up?  Why do they remain
terrorists?  When and how do they retire from terrorism (the ones who do), and
what do they do afterwards?  What do people who would otherwise become
terrorists do when they lack opportunity?  (Do they ever lack opportunity?
What about eras before gunpowder and mass armies?)

&lt;P&gt;What can we do about people who want us to die for their convictions?

&lt;P&gt;See also:
	&lt;a href=&quot;revolution.html&quot;&gt;Revolution&lt;/a&gt;;
	&lt;a href=&quot;social-networks.html&quot;&gt;Social Networks&lt;/a&gt;;
	&lt;a href=&quot;war.html&quot;&gt;War&lt;/a&gt;

&lt;ul&gt;Recommended:
	&lt;li&gt;John Arquilla, David Ronfeldt, &lt;cite&gt;Networks and Netwars: The
Future of Terror, Crime, and Militancy&lt;/cite&gt; [From RAND, the people who
brought you the American strategy in Indochina.  But nonetheless interesting.
&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.rand.org/publications/MR/MR1382/&quot;&gt;Online&lt;/a&gt;.]
	&lt;li&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://sitemaker.umich.edu/satran&quot;&gt;Scott Atran&lt;/a&gt;,
&quot;Mishandling Suicide Terrorism&quot;, &lt;cite&gt;The Washington
Quarterly&lt;/cite&gt; &lt;strong&gt;27:3&lt;/strong&gt; (Summer 2004): 67--90 [&lt;a
href=&quot;http://www.twq.com/04summer/docs/04summer_atran.pdf&quot;&gt;PDF&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;li&gt;Samidh Chakrabarti and Aaron Strauss, &quot;Carnival Booth: An Algorithm
for Defeating the Computer-Assisted Passenger Screening System&quot; [&lt;a
href=&quot;http://swissnet.ai.mit.edu/6805/student-papers/spring02-papers/caps.htm&quot;&gt;online&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;li&gt;Aaron Clauset, Maxwell Young, and Kristian Skrede Gleditsch, &quot;Scale
Invariance in the Severity of
Terrorism&quot;, &lt;a href=&quot;http://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0606007&quot;&gt;physics/0606007&lt;/a&gt;
[Surprising, but well-supported]
	&lt;li&gt;&lt;a
href=&quot;http://www.csis.org/index.php?option=com_csis_experts&amp;task=view&amp;id=156&quot;&gt;Mary
DeRosa&lt;/a&gt;, &quot;Data Mining and Data Analysis for Counterterrorism&quot;, CSIS Report,
March 2004 [Sound look at what &lt;a href=&quot;learning-inference-induction.html&quot;&gt;data
mining&lt;/a&gt; can and can't do for counterterrorism, and suggestions on how it
should and should not be used.  I agree with the recommendation that decisions
about what actions to take should not be made on the basis of automatic data
analysis.  The only thing which gives me pause there is the literature
on &lt;a href=&quot;clinical-vs-actuarial.html&quot;&gt;clinical vs. actuarial judgment&lt;/a&gt;,
which shows that it's very hard to identify situations in which human experts
are more reliable than automated
decision-rules.  &lt;a
href=&quot;http://www.csis.org/index.php?option=com_csis_pubs&amp;task=view&amp;id=22&quot;&gt;Document
page&lt;/a&gt;, including link for PDF download and option to buy hardcopy.]
	&lt;li&gt;Gilles Keppel, &lt;cite&gt;Jihad: The Trail of Political Islam&lt;/cite&gt;
[Argues that spectacular terrorism was actually linked to the &lt;em&gt;decline&lt;/em&gt;
of &lt;a href=&quot;islamists.html&quot;&gt;Islamism&lt;/a&gt; in the 1990s]
	&lt;li&gt;James Joll, &lt;cite&gt;The Anarchists&lt;/cite&gt; [People often seem to think
that non-state terrorism is an innovation of the last few decades, but that's
really not so: this book has a chapter or two on the relevant bomber-throwers
who, while be no means typical of all anarchists, certainly managed to blow up
a respectable number of heads of state, cabinet ministers, and innocent
bystanders.]
	&lt;li&gt;Gordon H. McCormick, &quot;Terrorist Decision Making&quot;, &lt;a
href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1146/annurev.polisci.6.121901.085601&quot;&gt;&lt;cite&gt;Annual
Review of Political Science&lt;/cite&gt; &lt;strong&gt;6&lt;/strong&gt; (2003): 473--507&lt;/a&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;John Mueller, &lt;cite&gt;Overblown: How Politicians and the Terrorism
Industry Inflate National Security Threats, and Why We Believe Them&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Marc Sageman, &lt;cite&gt;Understanding Terror Networks&lt;/cite&gt; [Really
limited to the networks of the global Salafi jihad, but, subject to that
disclaimer, very good.  &lt;a
href=&quot;http://www.upenn.edu/pennpress/book/14036.html&quot;&gt;Blurb, link to sample
chapter&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;li&gt;Bruce Schneier, &lt;cite&gt;Beyond Fear&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Austin T. Turk, &quot;Sociology of Terrorism&quot;, &lt;a
href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1146/annurev.soc.30.012703.110510&quot;&gt;&lt;cite&gt;Annual
Review of Sociology&lt;/cite&gt; &lt;strong&gt;30&lt;/strong&gt; (2004): 271--286&lt;/a&gt; [Ignore the
blather about &lt;a href=&quot;social-construction-of-reality.html&quot;&gt;social
construction&lt;/a&gt; at the beginning; the rest is worthwhile.]
	&lt;/ul&gt;

&lt;ul&gt;To read:
	&lt;li&gt;Mariam Abou Zahab and Olivier Roy, &lt;cite&gt;Islamist Networks: The Afghan-Pakistan Connection&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Sean Anderson and Stephen Sloan, &lt;cite&gt;Historical Dictionary of
Terrorism&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Daniel Benjamin and Steven Simon
		&lt;ul&gt;
		&lt;li&gt;&lt;cite&gt;The Age of Sacred Terror&lt;/cite&gt;
		&lt;li&gt;&lt;cite&gt;The Next Attack: The Failure of the War on Terror and
a Strategy for Getting It Right &lt;/cite&gt;
		&lt;/ul&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Jason Burke, &lt;cite&gt;Al-Qaeda: The True Story of Radical Islam&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Matthew Carr, &lt;cite&gt;The Infernal Machine: A History of
Terrorism&lt;/cite&gt; [&lt;a href=&quot;http://kenmacleod.blogspot.com/2007/03/glory-days.html&quot;&gt;Review by Ken MacLeod&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;li&gt;Richard A. Clarke et al., &lt;cite&gt;Defeating the Jihadists: A
Blueprint for Action&lt;/cite&gt; [&lt;a
href=&quot;http://www.tcf.org/4L/4LMain.asp?SubjectID=1&amp;TopicID=1&amp;ArticleID=498&quot;&gt;Full
text online&lt;/a&gt;, as chapter-by-chapter PDFs]
	&lt;li&gt;David Cole, &lt;cite&gt;Enemy Aliens: Double Standards and Constitutional
Freedoms in the War on Terrorism&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Audrey Kurth Cronin, &lt;cite&gt;How Terrorism Ends: Understanding the
Decline and Demise of Terrorist Campaigns&lt;/cite&gt;
[&lt;a href=&quot;http://press.princeton.edu/titles/9012.html&quot;&gt;blurb&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;li&gt;Laura K. Donohue, &lt;cite&gt;The Cost of Counterterrorism: Power, Politics, and Liberty&lt;/cite&gt; [&lt;a href=&quot;http://cambridge.org/9780521605878&quot;&gt;blurb&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;li&gt;Michael Faia, &quot; `Three Can Keep a Secret, if Two of Them Are Dead':
Weak Ties as Infiltration Routes,&quot; &lt;cite&gt;Quantity and
Quality&lt;/cite&gt; &lt;strong&gt;34&lt;/strong&gt; (May 2000): 193--216 [Online as &lt;a
href=&quot;http://faculty.wm.edu/mafaia/conspr-3.html&quot;&gt;HTML&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a
href=&quot;http://faculty.wm.edu/mafaia/conspire_article.pdf&quot;&gt;PDF&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;li&gt;Diego Gambetta and Steffen Hertog, &quot;Engieers of Jihad&quot;
[&lt;a
href=&quot;http://www.nuff.ox.ac.uk/users/gambetta/Engineers%20of%20Jihad.pdf&quot;&gt;PDF&lt;/a&gt;.
Via Henry Farrell,
who &lt;a
href=&quot;http://crookedtimber.org/2007/11/10/engineers-of-jihad/&quot;&gt;summarizes&lt;/a&gt;.]
	&lt;li&gt;Adam Garfinkle (ed.), &lt;cite&gt;A Practical Guide to Winning the War on
Terrorism&lt;/cite&gt; [&lt;a
href=&quot;http://www-hoover.stanford.edu/publications/books/practical.html&quot;&gt;Online&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;li&gt;Karen J. Greenberg (ed.), &lt;cite&gt;Al Qaeda Now&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Philip B. Heymann
		&lt;ul&gt;
		&lt;li&gt;&lt;cite&gt;Terrorism, Freedom and Security: Winning without
War&lt;/cite&gt; [&lt;a href=&quot;http://mitpress.mit.edu/0262582554&quot;&gt;Blurb, sample
chapter&lt;/a&gt;]
		&lt;li&gt;&lt;cite&gt;Terrorism and America&lt;/cite&gt;
		&lt;/ul&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Michael Kenney, &lt;cite&gt;From Pablo to Osama: Trafficking and
Terrorist Networks, Government Bureaucracies, and Competitive Adaptation&lt;/cite&gt;
[&lt;a
href=&quot;http://www.psupress.org/books/titles/978-0-271-02931-3.html&quot;&gt;Blurb&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;li&gt;Sundri K. Khalsa, &lt;cite&gt;Forecasting Terrorism: Indicators and Proven
Analytic Techniques&lt;/citE&gt; [Color me &lt;em&gt;extremely&lt;/em&gt; skeptical]
	&lt;li&gt;Alexander T. J. Lennon (ed.), &lt;cite&gt;The Battle for Hearts and
Minds: Using Soft Power to Undermine Terrorist Networks&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Eileen MacDonald, &lt;cite&gt;Shoot the Women First&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Jaime Malamud-Goti, &lt;cite&gt;Game without End: State Terror and the
Politics of Justice&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Robert A. Pape, &quot;The Strategic Logic of Suicide
Terrorism&quot;, &lt;cite&gt;American Political Science Review&lt;/cite&gt; &lt;strong&gt;97&lt;/strong&gt;
(2003): 343--361
	&lt;li&gt;Darius Rejali, &lt;cite&gt;Torture and Democracy&lt;/cite&gt;
[&lt;a href=&quot;http://press.princeton.edu/titles/8490.html&quot;&gt;blurb&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;li&gt;Christoph Reuter, &lt;cite&gt;My Life Is a Weapon: A Modern History of
Suicide Bombing&lt;/cite&gt;
[&lt;a href=&quot;http://pup.princeton.edu/titles/7699.html&quot;&gt;Blurb, intro&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;li&gt;Louise Richardson, &lt;cite&gt;What Terrorists Want: Understanding the
Enemy, Containing the Threat&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Jake Shapiro and &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.stanford.edu/~dasiegel/&quot;&gt;David
Siegel&lt;/a&gt;, &quot;Underfunding in Terrorist Organizations&quot;, &lt;cite&gt;Journal of
Conflict Resolution&lt;/citE&gt; &lt;strong&gt;submitted&lt;/strong&gt;
[&lt;a
href=&quot;http://www.stanford.edu/~dasiegel/Shapiro_Siegel_Underfunding.pdf&quot;&gt;PDF
preprint&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;li&gt;Jessica Stern, &lt;cite&gt;The Ultimate Terrorists&lt;/cite&gt; [&lt;a
href=&quot;http://www.hup.harvard.edu/S99Books/catalog/ultimate_terror.html&quot;&gt;Blurb&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;li&gt;Leon Trotsky, &lt;cite&gt;In Defense of Terrorism&lt;/cite&gt;
	&lt;li&gt;Michel Wieviorka, &lt;cite&gt;The Making of Terrorism&lt;/cite&gt; [&lt;a
href=&quot;http://www.press.uchicago.edu/cgi-bin/hfs.cgi/00/16125.ctl&quot;&gt;Blurb&lt;/a&gt;]
	&lt;/ul&gt;
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