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Archives
Categories
Self-Centered
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur
Books I've read in the last month or so and
feel I can recommend
- Robert Pinsky, Gulf Music: Poems
- The poet wrestling with things, disasters, and his own "insomniac
monkey-mind". I'll quote the last part of "First Things to Hand", titled
"Door", because it is nice, but it's not representative of the range. (No one poem here is.)
The cat cries for me from the other side.
It is beyond her to work this device
That I open and cross and close
With such ease when I mean to work.
Its four panels form a cross—the rood,
Impaling gatepost of redempton.
The rod, a dividing pike or pale
Mounted and hinged to swing between
One way or place and another, meow.
Between the January vulva of birth
And the January of death's door
There are so many to negotiate,
Closed or flung open or ajar, valves
Of attention. O kitty If the doors
Of perception were cleansed
All things would appear as they are,
Infinite. Come in, darling, drowse
Comfortably near my feet, I will click
The barrier closed again behind you, O
Sister will, fellow mortal, here we are.
- Andrea Camilleri, The
Patience of the Spider
and The Paper
Moon
- Wonderful as always; Montalbano continues to be a superb detective, and the
tone of outrage at injustice and astonishment at human depravity and folly is
nicely balanced with self-mockery (the scene with the alarm clock at the
beginning of The Paper Moon, for example) and good food. (This I
think distinguishes itself from American hard-boiled crime stories, which seem
to take themselves and their disillusionment so seriously.) Previous
installments
discussed here, here, here, here and,
most recently, here. — Many thanks to
"Uncle Jan" for copies!
- George R. Milner, The Moundbuilders: Ancient Peoples of Eastern
North America
- Over-view of the archaeology of the pre-historic inhabitants of what is now
the eastern US, with a little bit of Ontario thrown in, emphasizing the
mound-building cultures of the mid-west and south-east. Milner seems somewhat
more confident in some of his statements (e.g., about artifacts circulating by
gift exchange rather than trade, or about social organization) than the
evidence he presents would seem to warrant, but then I often
have this problem when reading archaeologists.
- Jessica
Hagy, Indexed
- Fun with Venn diagrams and little graphs on two axes. The effect is a
little hard to describe, but fortunately you can
just see examples.
- David
Rees, Get Your War
On II
- Reading this in 2008 brings back, in a truly vivid way, just how much of a
feverish nightmare 2002--2004 really was.
|
May 13, 2008
Memos to Self, re: Pedagogy
Attention conservation notice: An
exercise in public self-embarrassment as an aid to behavior
modification.
- [REDACTED]
- The next time a research student gets you a book from your wish-list as a
gift, do not let the first words out of your mouth be "Wow, I just bought that
the other week!".
- Keep the wish-list up to date.
Self-Centered;
Corrupting the Young
Posted by crshalizi at May 13, 2008 12:19 | permanent link
Both brought to you via Bill Tozier.
First, from
LOL Manuscripts:
The post is worth at least a sardonic glance.
Second,
a discussion
of the
whole Rennes-le-Château/Priory of Sion mythology
as an alternate reality game devised by Pierre Plantard. In other
words, Holy
Blood, Holy Grail
and The Da Vinci
Code are the "Tlön, Uqbar, Orbis Tertius" we deserve.
— The fact that death and delusion are on my mind has nothing
whatsoever to do with the fact that my students
in 462 are turning in their final papers today.
Psychoceramica;
Writing for Antiquity;
Linkage
Posted by crshalizi at May 13, 2008 10:30 | permanent link
May 05, 2008
Assorted Link Roundup, May 2008
Without style or grace.
Wolfgang Beirl explains why financial engineers
(like the ones I've been teaching this semester) are also known
as "rocket
scientists". There are connections here to Wolfgang's thoughts
on telephones and
the foundations of statistics.
Man's role in
changing the face of the Earth dep't.: Ben
Fry's map of the 48 contiguous
states, showing only streets and roads. Everything else,
astonishingly, emerges from that.
(Via Unfogged.)
The radical right revives
the theory of magical
kingship propounded by Sir J. G. Frazer
in The Golden
Bough, in which the health of the land is sympathetically tied to
the character of the
ruler, as
an account of the American presidency, and correspondingly prophecies
doom, doom, DOOM! should Hillary be elected. Illustrated
with
kittens. Note: WorldNetDaily, unlike
the Landover Baptist Church,
is not a parody. (I've mentioned them before.)
Speaking of signs of the apocalypse, Thomas
"The Baffler"
Frank is
now writing
op-eds for the Wall Street Journal.
(Via Aaron Swartz.)
Mind Hacks
offers two neurologically-themed tattoos,
observing of the second that it produces "a markedly different effect, despite
the fact it resides in the same location".
Steve
Laniel
and Tom
Slee review Clay Shirky's Here Comes Everybody. You have
probably already seen or read Shirky's
talk "Gin,
Television and Social Surplus". His social history is over-simplified, and
I get a bit leery of my own response to things which push my buttons so
thoroughly, but nonetheless — preach it, brother Clay, preach it!
Brooks Simpson, in
an interview
with the Southern Poverty Law Center, briskly shreds various lies about the US
Civil War and the Confederacy propagated by modern apologists for "treason in
defense of slavery".
Via Abiola
Lapite, who has a good post on
the genetics
of height.
Sierpinski
cookies (via Dave Feldman).
Because I am a mean and vicious person, I take great pleasure at reading
Kathy G. toy with someone who
pretends to know something about economics
(1, 2, 3, 4). G. is
a public-spirited person, so when
she says
"I write about economic theory because I believe it is
Really. Fucking. Important. Bad economic models make for bad economic
policies.", I believe her. But I enjoy reading her for the sheer pleasure in
the evisceration. Similarly, I think that in a juster
world, Camille
Paglia would now be remembered only as the occasion
for this
1991 Molly Ivins essay.
Kit Whitfield explains the concept of a "Macho Sue":
A disagreeable variant of Mary
Sue, often found in action films, cop shows and the more battly kind of
science fiction. While Mary Sue is a fictional character who bends the universe
around herself with her amazing specialness, Macho Sue bends the universe
around his manhood. He has a particular ability to get away with behaviour that
would be considered bad in a woman — to the point of behaviour that would
be considered typically female by a misogynist if displayed by a
woman.
These traits usually involve poor self-control, such as outbursts, tantrums, sulks, and a refusal to take responsibility for his own behaviour towards others when he's upset. It's not uncommon for Macho Sue to be prejudiced, or at least suspicious of the unfamiliar, and he's almost always unusually disrespectful to others; he has a particular propensity for taking an unreasonable dislike to somebody on sight (only to have it validated later). When thwarted, he tends to be affronted as well as frustrated, in a way that suggests neither he nor the narrative think it right that anyone but him should ever get their way. The story tends to throw straw men at him by way of obstacles, but they're never shown as equally masculine, and thus are without any heroism of their own. Macho Sue is emotional, but with such an assumption of gendered authority that nobody questions the manliness — in the rightful sense of 'adulthood' — of his behaviour.
She instances (the characters played by) John Wayne, but, oddly enough,
neglects to
mention Achilles.
Further on the literary-critical vein,
a remarkably
funny, yet thoroughly horrifying, review of a set of novels I
will not be reading. It ends thus
The PALADIN OF SHADOWS series is arguably the most horrifying series of books I
have ever read. It has a hero I can't stand, politics so strong they're
comical, and sex scenes that are downright horrifying. And I cannot stop
reading it. I am going to buy every single one, and if Ringo ever comes out
with a spin-off featuring Katya as Cottontail the Bionic Whore, I will buy that
too. Because dammit, there's bad, and then there's so bad you have to
memorialize it for future generations. but you really need to
read what comes before it to get the full effect. The reaction by the author
of the books in question is
— startling.
(Via Kate Nepveu.)
Thematically not-unrelated,
an experiment with a
famous comic book author. (For the record, I liked Ronin well
enough when I read it as a teenager, but generally haven't seen what there was
to get excited about in Miller's work; at most a "lower and distorted form" of
a general theme.)
Second in our series of great moments in Afghan
Buddhism: the
earliest
known oil paintings may be from Bamiyan (via Matthew Berryman).
You should read Existence
Is Wonderful. She changes my mind about things.
I become more and more convinced that one of the keys to understanding our
intellectual life is
the Skolnick Effect. It
is hard to understand
the success
of neuromarketing otherwise, for example. It's not that functional brain
imaging can't be scientifically useful (I'm involved in some projects myself),
but the level of the usual study which gets popular attention is to tell us, on
the basis of tiny samples, that some part of the brain is differentially
activated by thoughts of
attaining money,
chocolate, justice
and sex
and/or dirty pictures. (That last link in particular offers a glimpse into
a remarkable clusterfuck of bad science journalism amplifying sloppy thinking.)
At this point what you are really learning is that there isn't a
straightforward mapping from our psychological concepts to paticular brain
regions, which is something the neuropsychologists have
been trying to
tell you for quite a while now. You can even
say it
with math, but that doesn't seem to make people any more inclined to
listen.
Worse, the journalists — and even many of the scientists —
seem incapable
of separating "implemented in the brain" from "innate".
(A
recent offender, via Abiola. [It
wouldn't surprise me in the least if some sense of social hierarchy is
innate in human beings — with all the disclaimers about what such
statements mean hereby incorporated by reference — but the point is that
the results reported are completely irrelevant to the question of
innateness.]) I realize we have thousands of years of ingrained ideas about
mind-body dualism and human nature to work through here, but honestly, people,
could we at least get into
the eighteenth century? All our
thoughts and actions involve our brains somehow; detecting them in the brain
with current technology says nothing about their being innate, unless you want
to seriously say that the rules
of chess
are hard-wired into our genomes. But if I pursue this further I will get into
the bog of free will, and
the idiotic
conclusions about it people draw from weird experiments...
(Meanwhile, the fact that people
can get papers
in Science out of the astonishing prediction that territorial
ethnic conflict requires the geographic proximity of (self-perceived) ethnic
groups, and is rare in locales where one group is an overwhelming majority,
suggests that there is a version of the Skolnick Effect involving toy-model
simulations.)
The newly-risen Fafblog
shows
that prophetic
parody is the only way to keep up with the
real news.
Carlos Yu has,
sadly, stopped
blogging. I feel a bit bad because I always liked his stuff and rarely
told him so. I will miss very much the only blogger capable
of writing
about ancient Sanskrit plays featuring "creepy horny drunk carnivorous beggars
covered in human ash, accompanied by hott chick acolytes, carrying around
someone's skull, asking you for money" (parenthetically adding "I think they
used to squat in Tompkins Square Park");
the grand
unified theory of
wingnuts; Garry
Wills; paleobiochemistry;
football and
other pure
products of America; and God knows what else. I hope that, like Fafblog,
he will one day return.
A while back, Brad DeLong linked to a parody of Thomas Aquinas's proofs of
the existence of
God, Five Ways
of Proving the Existence of Santa Claus. This is ridiculous, of course,
but really not much more so than such serious topics treated by the Angelic
Doctor as the relation of the
saints to the damned (the saints in Heaven will see the suffering of the
damned perfectly; will have no pity towards them; and will in fact rejoice in
their suffering); whether
the weeping of the damned will be corporeal (yes, but there will be no
tears); and whether the damned will be in material darkness:
The disposition of hell will be such as to be adapted to the utmost
unhappiness of the damned. Wherefore accordingly both light and darkness are
there, in so far as they are most conducive to the unhappiness of the
damned. Now seeing is in itself pleasant for, as stated in Metaph. i, "the
sense of sight is most esteemed, because thereby many things are known."
Yet it happens accidentally that seeing is painful, when we see things that
are hurtful to us, or displeasing to our will. Consequently in hell the place
must be so disposed for seeing as regards light and darkness, that nothing be
seen clearly, and that only such things be dimly seen as are able to bring
anguish to the heart. Wherefore, simply speaking, the place is dark. Yet by
Divine disposition, there is a certain amount of light, as much as suffices for
seeing those things which are capable of tormenting the soul. The natural
situation of the place is enough for this, since in the centre of the earth,
where hell is said to be, fire cannot be otherwise than thick and cloudy, and
reeky as it were.
Some hold that this darkness is caused by the massing together of the bodies
of the damned, which will so fill the place of hell with their numbers, that no
air will remain, so that there will be no translucid body that can be the
subject of light and darkness, except the eyes of the damned, which will be
darkened utterly.
On which note, I have a final exam to give.
Linkage;
The Commonwealth of Letters;
Minds, Brains, and Neurons;
The Natural Science of the Human Species;
The Beloved Republic;
Afghanistan and Central Asia;
The Dismal Science;
Math;
Learned Folly;
The Running-Dogs of Reaction;
The Continuing Crises;
Philosophy;
Psychoceramics
Posted by crshalizi at May 05, 2008 16:59 | permanent link
April 30, 2008
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, April 2008
- Richard
Bookstaber, A Demon of Our
Own Design: Markets, Hedge Funds, and the Perils of Financial
Innovation
- One part "financial crises I have known" to one part general thoughts about
market dynamics, and in particular the difficulties that arise due to
complexity, "tight coupling" of markets, and leverage. The stories are going
to be familiar to most people interested in the subject. The latter are
interesting but under-argued. This is true even when I agree with him, about,
e.g., the limitations of statistical modeling in financial markets. (The pages
on Gödel's Theorem, the Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle and chaos
were painful, but also completely logically independent of the stuff
about finance.)
- This may get a full review later. For now I'd just say that his main
recommendations — avoid complex and novel financial instruments, avoid
leverage, and avoid trying to optimize to current conditions, in favor of
responding adequately to a wide range of situations, including ones
you can't currently anticipate — are not bad as words of wisdom, but he
has no hint as to how they could be implemented under current conditions, i.e.,
in the actually-existing capitalist financial system he describes.
- This
interview with Andrew Leonard
in Salon serves as a decent summary.
- John
McGowan, American
Liberalism
- Unapologetic advocacy of modern liberalism as an attempt to provide equal
and, crucially, effective freedom to all. Liberalism tries to achieve
this by creating institutions which make arbitrary, unaccountable, unchecked
power ineffective, because powers are checked and balanced by other sources
of power and made to answer for theirs actions to those over whom
power is exercised. (This distinguishes it from anarchism, whose ideal is
simply to eliminate power.) The means by which these things are
achieved are secondary, and evaluated pragmatically, by their effectiveness and
side-effects in given conditions as compared to available alternatives.
(Liberalism, though he doesn't put it this way, becomes in his hands
a general
ideology of the second best.) Seen thus, there is a clear line of descent
between the 18th century liberalism of (most of) the American founders and the
modern ideology, with the main development being taking seriously the
bit about all men being created equal.
- McGowan tries very hard here to reach the general educated public, rather
than fellow academics, and almost succeeds. (There are turns of phrase which
make it obvious that he's read his post-structuralists, but they're not
unreadable ones.) The ideal book along these lines would be something at the
level of, say, Milton Friedman's Free to Choose, and McGowan isn't
there, is still a little too committed to academic forms, but this is clearly a
labor of love, and I hope it will succeed in being influential.
- (I confess, though, that I don't get why he thinks cell phones are
worse for involvement in the public sphere than land-lines.
The reverse, if anything.)
- John McCleary, A First Course in
Topology: Continuity and Dimension
- Well-written textbook of topology, with a historical flavor (but modern
methods), and an emphasis on (as the subtitle suggests) the problem of showing
that dimension is invariant under continuous and invertible mappings
(homeomorphisms). The reader needs a solid grasp of basic real analysis,
linear algebra and abstract algebra.
- William R. Cross, The
Burned-Over District: The Social and Intellectual History of Enthusiastic
Religion in Western New York, 1800--1850
- A very solid
historical work, though it presumes a fair degree of familiarity with the
Protestant sects of early 19th century America, and even with the political
history of New York. (I lose any right to review this by the fact
that I had to look up the Holland Company,
and was boggld by what I found.) Though he does not put it this way, a big
part of his thesis as to why much but not all of western New
York was so susceptible to religious and semi-religious fads then was that the
pure products of Yankeedom go crazy. He makes this very plausible, in
a way which nonetheless manages to be sympathetic to the enthusiasts.
- Some remarks about feminine weaknesses, and the places where he seems to
blame the Civil war on, of all people, the Abolitionists, are distasteful, but
also a sign of the moral progress separating us from 1950...
- David Ruelle, The
Mathematician's Brain: A Personal Tour Through the Essentials of Mathematics
and Some of the Great Minds Behind Them
- An eminent
mathematical physicist's take on mathematics and mathematicians. It manages to
be sane, pragmatic, thoroughly unromantic, and yet highly enthusiastic for the
subject. I actually think anyone who remembers high school math could follow
everything; his trick, here, is to start with that sort of stuff and explain
how mathematicians generalize it, why they generalize it, and
especially why they generalize it in certain ways and not others. —
Despite the title, this is strictly psychological, with negligible
neuroscience. Given the utter lack of useful neuroscientific data about
mathematical thinking, this is sound.
- Draws on his "Conversations on
mathematics with a visitor from outer space" (PDF), but with
all traces of Gallic whimsy removed. (They would probably have become
unbearable at book length.)
- Matthew Yglesias, Heads in
the Sand: How the Republicans Screw Up Foreign Policy and Foreign Policy Screws
Up the Democrats
- Young master Yglesias finally delivers on
that early promise with a book, which, mercifully, is not about
blogging and not just a collection of his blogging. Rather it is a
sustained, sober, well-written argument in favor of robustly and forthrightly
re-embracing the tradition of liberal internationalism, which tries to create
institutions that will channel international affairs in peaceful directions and
restrain raw power, in order to create a better world for all, including
the powerful. As against this we have various strains of nationalist
and/or imperialist viciousness and idiocy. Yglesias argues for liberal
internationalism and against other ideologies on grounds of morals, practical
benefits (the life of a hegemonic power being nasty, brutish and short), and
sheer political expediency for the Democratic party, since the alternative
hasn't been working out all that well. (He also offers up some brisk but
sincere mea culpas.) I would have preferred more argument about
morals, e.g. reminding people that the point of our country is not supposed to
be a thousand years of crushing global military dominance, but suspect my own
impulses in that direction.
- Can be read in a day, if you're stuck on
planes. Highly recommended if you're in to this sort of thing.
- Warren
Ellis and Salvador Larroca, Newuniversal:
Everything Went White
- Comic-book candy. — OK, it
deserves a little more than that. From time to time Timothy Burke complains
about how astonishing things happen in comic books, which ought to transform
the world, but somehow life goes on exactly as before. This series starts from
a world slightly askew from our own, where the appearance of
superhumans does, in fact, change things.
- Charles Stross,
The
Jennifer Morgue
- Sequel to The Atrocity Archive. More
lightheartedly chilling Lovecraftian spy fiction, from the perspective of the
geeks in IT. Only, this time, haunted by the ghost of James Bond.
- John
Dewey, Liberalism and
Social Action
- "And now abideth liberty, individuality, and
the critical use of intelligence, these three; but the greatest of these is
intelligence." (Not an actual quotation.)
- Brian K. Vaughan et al.,
Ex Machina: Tag;
Fact
vs. Fiction; March to
War; Smoke
Smoke; Power
Down
- Comic books. Actually, I read these back in February,
not too long after the first in the series,
but forgot to mention them here. I suspect I can guess where this is going,
but even if I'm right I want to see how they get there.
- Margaret
Maron, Up Jumps the
Devil; Killer
Market; and Home
Fires
- More unreasonably charming mystery novels about
murder in increasingly-exurban North Carolina. Series fatigue will doubtless
set in eventually.
Books to Read While the
Algae Grow in Your Fur
Posted by crshalizi at April 30, 2008 23:59 | permanent link
May Day 2008: Strike Against the War
What follows is a letter my friend John Burke has been circulating to
friends. John used to blog as "reprieved" a.k.a. "rootlesscosmo", but gave
that up. I wish he'd start again; but in the meanwhile I have his permission
to reprint this.
I well remember how indignant a lot of antiwar people were at US organized labor's late, feeble, and sometimes dead wrong positions during the Vietnam War. Much of the then AFL-CIO leadership supported the war (though this support grew less vocal as the war dragged on under a Republican administration); so did a lot of union members, notably the building trades "hard hats" who waded into an antiwar rally in Manhattan in 1969. There were exceptions, including the International Longshore and Warehouse Union (ILWU) on the West Coast and, eventually, the United Auto Workers and a number of public employee unions; there was a labor coalition against the war, which formed a contingent at rallies, bought ads in the print media, and lent support to antiwar candidates.
What there wasn't, though, was any use of labor's economic strength--the strike weapon--to express opposition to the war, and that baffled and irritated some antiwar activists, especially those who didn't know much about labor law or labor history. (I know this doesn't apply to a lot of the recipients of this message; feel free to skip ahead if this is familiar material.) In particular, students from middle-class families weren't aware that under the Taft-Hartley amendments to the National Labor Relations Act, the use of the strike weapon for any purpose except in disputes about collective bargaining agreements is explicitly prohibited. They also may not have grasped the context of Taft-Hartley, which--though labor opposed it and Truman vetoed it, only to be overridden by a Republican-majority Congress--set in stone the main outlines of the postwar, Cold War-era "social compact:" labor would save job action for "pork chop" issues, confine its political action to endorsing candidates, impose a "loyalty" test on union leaders (which led to the expulsion of the Left-led unions from the CIO in 1949) and become a partner in the worldwide struggle against Communism. In return, major corporate employers would recognize unions and accept contracts that included regular productivity and cost-of-living increases; there were occasional disruptions in this cozy arrangement, but strike activity fell sharply from the big upsurge in 1946-47 and stayed low until the "stagflation" and mass layoffs that began in the mid-70's.
So job action against the Vietnam War would have been not only a challenge to the law but a sharp break with the postwar social compact, at a time when that compact's real meaning was thrown into sharp focus: labor was called on to support a Third World military intervention against a Communist-led liberation movement, at a moment when that intervention was producing a flush of prosperity and job growth. (Harry Bridges of the ILWU, when he launched a campaign to recruit new members from high-unemployment communities in response to the growth of war-related Pacific shipping, admitted ruefully that it was blood money.)
But the social compact started falling apart in the 1970's--the war turned out to be a large part of the reason, though I've promised myself not to use the word "dialectical" in this brief survey--and Reagan shredded it after 1980. The Cold War is over, the steady-growth postwar economy is over, union density as a percentage of the workforce is down from 35% to 13% (and less in the once-powerful industrial sector), anti-labor policies have been entrenched at the NLRB for many years, and neither the Carter nor Clinton administrations achieved labor's goal of legislative reform. (How hard did they try? Good question.)
In short, the deal that undergirded labor's qualified support for the Vietnam War has fallen apart.
The postwar social compact was a tradeoff; the other side went back on the bargain. It's time for labor to begin reclaiming its full range of tactical options in support of a robust participation in political life, on an agenda of labor's choosing without the artificial constraints imposed by Taft-Hartley. This will be, inevitably, a gradual process, and it may get ugly; I don't think there are any US Attorneys dumb enough to try to indict the ILWU leadership, but I may be being too generous. (It's a grave failing of mine.)
In any case, the first big crack in the ice is the ILWU's planned coastwide work stoppage tomorrow,
http://maydayilwu.googlepages.com/
which will also coincide with and support an immigrants' rights rally (and it certainly is refreshing that the immigrants' movement has reclaimed May Day as a day of workers' action; sure, the sectarian Lefties will try to hop aboard the bandwagon, but who cares?) I'll be marching tomorrow, with my United Transportation Union button on, prouder of the labor movement, my movement, than I've ever had a chance to feel in my life. Hope to see you there.
The only thing I have to add is that when John says "my United
Transportation Union button", he means "the button of the union I belonged to
during the more than a quarter century I worked on the railroads".
Manual trackback: Chaotic Soliloquy; Stripes with Plaid
The Continuing Crisis;
The Progressive Forces
Posted by crshalizi at April 30, 2008 16:55 | permanent link
April 24, 2008
Putting the CART before the Horse-Race
Finally, from Amanda Cox at the Times, a decision tree students
can believe in (click for full size):
Now, if I wanted to be a hobby-horse-riding pedant, I would compare this to
a regression of vote-share on these covariates, and ask you rhetorically which
one was easier to understand, and which gave more of a misleading impression of
being more than a summary description; but I'll save that for the poor souls who
take data mining in the fall. (This is from the 16th; it would be interesting
to see how it changed after last Tuesday. Not that I'm bitter.)
Local interest note: Ms. Cox will be judging the final-project
posters produced by the students
in Prof. Nugent's graphics and
visualization class
(36-315), next
Friday, 2 May, 12:30 to 1:20 pm in Porter Hall 125C. Friendly, non-psychotic
visitors are welcome.
Via Flowing
Data, via K. (Owing to the silly limits of the Times
archives, I can't find the direct link to the story!)
Manual trackback: A Well, With Two Buckets
The Beloved Republic;
Enigmas of Chance
Posted by crshalizi at April 24, 2008 09:20 | permanent link
April 23, 2008
From Your Lips...
I swear I had nothing to do with this;
blame them.
Via Bill Tozier.
Complexity;
Learned Folly
Posted by crshalizi at April 23, 2008 10:31 | permanent link
April 22, 2008
Voting will continue until morale improves (Public Service Announcement)
If you (1) live in Pennsylviana, (2) are registered to vote and (3) are not
sure about where to vote, what to bring,
etc., votesPA.com has the information you are
looking for.
Manual trackback: Cranial Darwinism.
The Beloved Republic
Posted by crshalizi at April 22, 2008 16:07 | permanent link
Chaos, Complexity, and Inference (36-462): Lecture Notes
This page will be updated as the semester goes on, if you want to use this RSS feed to track them.
Alternately, lecture notes will be linked to on the course syllabus,
which includes the readings.
- Lecture 25 (April 22): Inference on networks
- slides
- Lecture 24 (April 15): Contagion on networks
- slides
- Lecture 23 (April 10): Collective phenomena and self-organization in
agent-based models
- slides
- Lecture 22 (April 8): Agents and Agent-Based Models
- slides
- Lecture 21 (April 3): Complex networks 2
- slides
- Lecture 20 (April 1): Complex networks 1
- slides
- Lecture 19 (March 25): Inference from simulations
- slides;
R
- Lecture 18 (March 20):
Special problem-solving session for homework 2
- partial solutions; R
- Lecture 17 (March 18):
Error Statistics and Severe Testing
- slides
- Lecture 16 (March 6):
Heavy tails 4, testing and evaluation
- slides and R
- Lecture 15 (March 4):
Heavy tails 3, estimation
- slides
- Lecture 14 (February 28):
Heavy tails 2, origins
- slides
- Lecture 13 (February 26):
Heavy tails 1, basics
- General R files for the next several lectures
- slides; R
- Lecture 12 (February 21): Self-organization 2
- slides
- Lecture 11 (February 19): Cellular automata 2/Excitable media
- slides
- Lecture 10 (February 14): Cellular automata 1
- slides
- Lecture 9 (February 12): Self-organization 1
- Philip and Phylis Morrison and the Office of Charles and Ray Eames, Powers of Ten
- slides
- see also: Pattern Formation in Cocktails
- Lecture 8 (February 7): Determinism and randomness
- Henri Poincaré, "Chance"
(from Science and Method, 1908)
- slides
- Lecture 7 (February 5): Information theory
- slides
- M.C. Hawking, "Entropy",
from Fear of a Black Hole
[lyrics; mp3 (radio-safe Brief History of
Rhyme version)]
- Ray and Charles
Eames, A
Communications Primer
- Lecture 6 (January 31): Inference for Markov chains and related processes
- slides
- Note: Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Markov Chains
- Lecture 5 (January 29): Symbolic dynamics; stochastics from dynamics
- slides
- Note: More on the Topological Entropy Rate
- Lecture 4 (January 24): Attractor reconstruction and nonlinear prediction
- slides (see slides for R examples).
- Note: Nonlinear prediction, nearest-neighbors, kernel methods
- Lorenz time-series generator, written in Perl.
- the Lorenz time series used in the lecture
- Lecture 3 (January 22): Attractors
- slides; R
- Lecture 2 (January 17): More chaos
- slides;
R
- The Arnold Cat Map Movie (starring Marlowe the Cat, directed by Evelyn Sander)
- Lecture 1 (January 15): What is a dynamical system? What is chaos? What is a simulation?
- slides;
R
Corrupting the Young;
Complexity;
Enigmas of Chance;
Networks
Posted by crshalizi at April 22, 2008 16:03 | permanent link
April 19, 2008
"Thou Shalt Not Follow a Multitude to Do Evil"
From William R. Cross, The Burned-Over District: The Social and
Intellectual History of Enthusiastic Religion in Western New York,
1800--1850 (reprint; New York: Harper, 1965, pp. 81--82):
The whole tribe of Yorkers exhibited a trait which bears on the nature
of Burned-Over
District credulity. It ranks in importance with the canniness and moral
intensity customarily attributed to Yankees and relates to both, but has been
less noticed because it is difficult to define and isolate. Against the "holy
enterprise of minding other people's business," which produced a marked
community-mindedness, these folk balanced a stubborn intrspection in the
fashioning of personal beliefs, which recognized no authority this side of
Heaven. Frank curiosity, pride in independent thinking, a feeling that action
should be motivated by sound logic and never by whimsy, a profound skepitcism
of any rationalization looking to less than the supposed ultimate good of
society, and, once arrived at, an overweening confidence in one's own judgment
— all these attitudes differently demonstrate the same trait. The mores
of the community must definitely be observed when established and agreed upon,
but in practice they remained forever open to challenge and subject to
revision. No apology was required for unorthodoxy dictated by conscience in
conference with Scripture; rather, any difference from custom created a
compelling obligation for the individual to press toward conformity with his
own new light.
Cross goes on in a footnote to add that "Certain angles of [this trait] survive
the generations of Yankee descendants, and my discussion of it is based in part
upon observation of acquaintances, my family, and myself".
The Beloved
Republic;
Psychoceramica
Posted by crshalizi at April 19, 2008 18:11 | permanent link
April 14, 2008
The End of the Age
Vanquished, the hero sails into the west, but legend says that he will
return when his people's peril is most dire. (The legend does not say
whether that was a promise or a threat.)
(Photo via Warren Ellis,
who got it from English Russia)
Linkage
Posted by crshalizi at April 14, 2008 11:16 | permanent link
April 11, 2008
Solvitur ambulando
A: Hey, you over there, the one walking! You're doing it
wrong.
B: Excuse me?
A: You're only using two feet! You should
keep at least three of your six in contact with the ground at all times.
B: ...
A: Look, it's easily proved that's the optimal way to walk.
Otherwise you'd be
unstable, and
if you were
walking past a Dutchman he could kick one of your legs with his clogs and knock
you over and then lecture you on how to make pancakes.
B: What? Why a Dutchman?
A: You can't trust the Dutch, they're everywhere! Besides,
every time you walk it's really just like running the gauntlet
at Schiphol.
B: It is?
A: Don't change the subject! Walking like that you're
actually sessile!
B: I don't seem to be rooted in place...
A: It's a technical term. Look, it's very simple, these
are all implications of the axioms of the theory of optimal walking and you're
breaking them all. I can't get over how immobile you are, walking like that.
B: "Immobile"?
A: Well, you're not walking properly, are you?
B: Your theory seems to assume I have six legs.
A: Yes, exactly!
B: I only have two legs. It doesn't describe what I do
at all.
A: It's a normative theory.
B: For something with six legs.
A: Yes.
B: I have two legs. Does your theory have any advice about how to walk on two legs?
A: Could you try crawling on your hands and knees?
Disclaimer: A is the one with the weird
Batavophobia, not me.
Manual trackback: Vukutu
Learned Folly;
Enigmas of Chance
Posted by crshalizi at April 11, 2008 20:11 | permanent link
April 10, 2008
Behold the Masses (Next Week at the CMU Statistics Seminar)
Attention conservation notice:
Publicity for a talk at CMU next week. Of limited interest if you're not
free and in Pittsburgh at 4 pm on Monday the 14th.
We are very happy to have Nathan
Eagle, of the Media Lab
and SFI, as our seminar speaker next
week, talking about the extremely cool work he's been doing on some extremely
large social networks.
- "Inference in Complex Social Systems: Insights and Applications from the Behavior of the Aggregate"
- Monday, 14 April 2008, 4 pm, Porter Hall 125C at Carnegie Mellon
- Abstract: I have used mobile phones to continuously gather
information including proximity, location, and communication from 100 human
subjects at MIT. Systematic measurements from these people over the course of
nine months has generated one of the largest dataset of continuous human
behavior ever collected, representing over 300,000 hours of daily
activity. Additionally, in collaboration with several European and African
telecommunication companies, I am currently analyzing the call logs of entire
countries - dynamic social networks consisting of up to 250 million nodes and
12 billion temporal edges.
In this talk I describe how this type of data can be used to uncover the
structure in behavior of both individuals and organizations, infer
relationships, and study social network dynamics. By combining theoretical
models with rich and systematic measurements, we show it is possible to gain
insight into the underlying behavior of complex social systems.
While results such as uncovering scaling laws from the communication
patterns of hundreds of millions of people will certainly be one emphasis in
this talk, of equal importance is how this data can enable applications that
improve our society. I will demonstrate a variety ways these insights into our
own behaviors can be used to develop applications that better support both the
individual, organization and society.
The talk is of course free and open to the public; come if it sounds
interesting (unless you're
like some
people who attend talks in Santa Fe [not that Nathan's work is remotely
comparable to Sheldrake's]).
Networks;
Enigmas of Chance;
Complexity
Posted by crshalizi at April 10, 2008 08:40 | permanent link
April 01, 2008
He Is Risen
Fafblog
has returned
to us. Long live the new era of Fafno-Gibletsian rule over the cosmos!
Linkage
Posted by crshalizi at April 01, 2008 17:03 | permanent link
March 31, 2008
Books to Read While the Algae Grow in Your Fur, March 2008
I slacked off on posting this until mid-April, if
anyone cares about why it's out of sequence.
- Joss Whedon, Fray
- Comic book. Mmm, candy.
- Simon Oliver & c., Exterminators, vol. 1: Bug
Brothers
- Comic book. LA low-lives hold the line against the forces of chaos,
embodied by vermin and large corporations. A bit of a come-down for the combat
myth
from Python,
perhaps, but I'll be reading the others.
- Sandra
McDonald, The Outback
Stars
- Aussies in space, after a never-quite-spelled-out ecological collapse on
Earth, with mysterious ancient alien artifacts and naval-procedural elements.
Mind-candy.
- Warren Ellis et al., Apparat: The Singles Collection
- Four "issues" from four
different otherwise-nonexistent comic
books, each imagining a different line of descent from early twentieth-century
pulp fiction to sequential graphic story-telling, without the invention of the
superhero genre. Angel Stomp Future revisits the future-shock and
technology-driven social liquification of Ellis's
glorious Transmetropolitan; it's more deliberately shocking
that Transmet (which is saying something), but not as good (which
says little). (That sentence also applies, mutatis mutandis, to
Ellis's
stand-alone City of
Silence.)
Frank Ironwine is a detective/cop story, almost a dry run for the
(excellent and
continuing) Fell. Quit
City descends from aviator stories (by way of confrontation with
personal, and perhaps I should add metaphorical, demons);
Simon Spector from old detective serials like The
Shadow. They're all not just clever exercises in genre bending and
para-literary archaeology, but also well-told and well-drawn tales.
- Margaret Maron, Southern
Discomfort and Shooting at Loons
- Sequels to Bootlegger's Daughter
(discussed here). Continues in a
light-hearted, quirky-semi-rural-stories vein, which ought to clash with the
fact that they're really stories about poverty, attempted rape and multiple
homicide (Discomfort), and the collapse of traditional livelihoods
and the values they supported (Loons), but, somehow, doesn't.
- Phil
Rickman, The Fabric of
Sin
- Latest in his Merrily Watkins series of "procedural ghost story" mysteries.
A haunted house story, involving family feuds, the fiction of M. R. James, and
people with obsessions about the Templars. Less of a supernatural element here
than usual, everything is satisfactorily explicable as people being either
creepy or creeped out. (Previous
installments: here, here,
and here.)
- Jorge
Cham, Piled Higher
and Deeper, Chapter 3: Scooped
- If the idea of a comic strip about the travails of geeks in graduate school
appeals to you, then you are probably already
reading Ph.D. Comics, but should buy
this anyway, as a contribution to the fund for the support of cartooning
roboticists. If, on the other hand, that sounds dreadful, reading this would
probably only confirm your darkest suspicions about the lumpentechnocracy.
- A. E. Stallings, Hapax:
Poems
- Highly formal (sonnets!) but also very good poems, many with
classical themes, ranging in tone from the funny ("XII Klassikal Lymnaeryx")
and the drily amusing ("Dead Language Lesson") to the darker "old standards" of
transience and loss
(e.g. "Arrowhead
Hunting") — or amusement and sentiment, as in "Last Will".
The "Antiblurb" on the back cover may give some idea of the contents:
This is not necessary. This is neither
Crucial nor salvation. It is no hymn
To harmonize the choirs of seraphim,
Nor any generation's bold bellwether
Leading the flock, no iridescent feather
Dropped from the Muse's wing. It does not limn,
Or speak in tongues, or voice the mute, or dim
Outmoded theories with its fireworks. Rather
This is flawed and mortal, and its stains
Bear the evidence of taking pains.
It did not have to happen, won't illumine
The smirch of history, the future's omen.
Necessity is merely what sustains —
It's what we do not need that makes us human.
Some other poems are available
online here
and here, and
there's a version of "Recitative" (not in this collection)
charmingly
illustrated by R. Kikuo Johnson.
Books to Read While the
Algae Grow in Your Fur
Posted by crshalizi at March 31, 2008 23:59 | permanent link
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